GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

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Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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7 markets tracked

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?	Kalshi	97%
Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?	Kalshi	95%
Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?	Kalshi	84%
Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?	Kalshi	51%
Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?	Kalshi	21%
Will Arizona win at least 90 games this season?	Kalshi	5%
Will Arizona win at least 95 games this season?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

2026 season If Arizona has X wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Ties do not count as wins.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Arizona pro baseball wins this season?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 season

If Arizona has X wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Ties do not count as wins.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Arizona has 95+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Arizona win at least 95 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Arizona win at least 90 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

2026 season If Arizona has X wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Ties do not count as wins.

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KALSHI

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

If Arizona has 65+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins.

KALSHI

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

If Arizona has 70+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins.

KALSHI

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

If Arizona has 75+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins.

KALSHI

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

If Arizona has 80+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins.

KALSHI

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.5¢No 79.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

If Arizona has 85+ wins in the 2026 pro baseball team regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ties do not count as wins.

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Average Yes Price

51¢

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Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

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Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

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Events (1)

Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

Markets (7)

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

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Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Arizona pro baseball wins this season?

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 65 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 70 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 75 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 80 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

Will Arizona win at least 85 games this season?

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