Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027

Total Volume

$123.17K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027

Vol

$123.17K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $123.17K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $123.17K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027?	Kalshi	17%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

17%

Top Probability

$123.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2027 wage increase minus December 2026 annual CPI If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the Underlying can be determined. This market may close and expire early once the Underlying can be determined.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2027 wage increase minus December 2026 annual CPI

If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the Underlying can be determined. This market may close and expire early once the Underlying can be determined.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Colombia's minimum wage growth for 2027 minus DANE's annual CPI variation for December 2026 is strictly above 4.00 percentage points, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early once the Underlying can be determined."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $123.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Colombia wage growth minus inflation above 4.00 pp in 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 15, 2027): Vol $123.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics