Premium Liiga (Estonia): 2026 Runner-Up
PM $1.6K
1
4
Premium Liiga (Estonia): 2026 Runner-Up
PM $1.6K
1
4
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Nõmme Kalju at 50.5%.
Polymarket
- Nõmme Kalju50.5%
- Paide Linnameeskond49%
- Tartu JK Tammeka47.5%
- FC Flora47%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $1.6K
Reported volume · provider units
4
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the 2026 season per the rules of Premium Liiga (Estonia) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Premium Liiga (Estonia); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The five contracts in this snapshot come from one Polymarket event, "Premium Liiga (Estonia): 2026 Runner-Up." Each asks whether a single named club will finish as runner-up. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Premium Liiga (Estonia) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No"" [1].
The rules also set several conditions that differ from a simple yes or no reading. If a listed club becomes unable to finish runner-up under league rules, its market resolves to "No" [1]. If multiple clubs are declared second-place finishers, the market resolves in favor of the team whose name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in that period, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a closing time written in the contract, not an announced date for any league event.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the source was retrieved at 06:32:43 UTC on the same day [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The quoted Yes prices were 0.505 for Tartu JK Tammeka, 0.50 for FC Flora, 0.50 for Nõmme Kalju, 0.50 for Paide Linnameeskond, and 0.455 for Harju JK Laagri [1]. The Harju No price was 0.545 [1]. Because each club has its own binary contract, these prices should be read contract by contract. The five Yes prices do not form a single distribution that can be summed or compared as a ranking of likelihood without further evidence.
The saved sample includes all five markets in this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. Even so, the provider notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. A club absent from this list is not evidence of a lower price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show trading activity, the number of participants, or liquidity. Volume data is not included here.
Only one platform appears in this evidence, so there is no cross-platform comparison. Contracts on other platforms could use different wording, close times, or tie rules, and their prices should not be averaged with these.
Finally, this snapshot describes conditions at one observation time. It does not show current prices, the season's status beyond what the rules describe, or the eventual outcome.
References
- Polymarket: Premium Liiga (Estonia): 2026 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This market is a Polymarket contract in the Premium Liiga (Estonia): 2026 Runner-Up event, under the Sports category. Each contract asks whether a named club will be runner-up in the 2026 season of the Premium Liiga [1]. The contract resolves to "Yes" if the listed club is determined to be runner-up, and to "No" otherwise [1]. The rules also cover cases where a listed club can no longer finish second. If a participant becomes unable to finish as runner-up under the league's rules, for example because it has been eliminated, its contract resolves to "No" [1]. If more than one club is declared second-place, the contract resolves in favor of the club whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. The rules also name a fallback outcome. If the event is cancelled, is postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared within that period, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The stated resolution source is official information from the Premium Liiga, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a date written into the contract rules. It is not an announced event date, and the source does not describe any scheduled announcement. At the time of the saved observation, the event was marked active by the provider [1]. The provider observation time was 2026-10-16T06:00:05.833Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T06:32:43.409Z [1]. These times describe when the data was recorded, not when the season ends or when the contract will close.
Historical Context
Wikipedia has separate pages summarizing Estonian football for 2026 and 2019 [2][3]. The 2026 page describes information about league systems, national teams, futsal, beach football and transfers [2]. The 2019 page is described only as a summary of that year in Estonian football [3]. The supplied material does not include results or league history that would explain the runner-up race.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single finishing position, second place in the 2026 Premium Liiga, for each listed club [1]. Its value is a snapshot of how the market priced that outcome at the observation time. The saved prices are Tartu JK Tammeka at Yes 0.505, FC Flora at Yes 0.5, Nõmme Kalju at Yes 0.5, Paide Linnameeskond at Yes 0.5 and Harju JK Laagri at Yes 0.455 with No at 0.545 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes all five saved markets for this event, and the provider notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. The saved data does not include volume for these markets, so it cannot show liquidity or the number of participants.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if two clubs finish as runner-up?
The contract resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1].
What happens if the season is cancelled or postponed?
If the event is cancelled, is postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Who decides the result?
The stated resolution source is official information from the Premium Liiga, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Do the prices show the chance that a club will finish second?
The prices are snapshots taken at the observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
