Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T03:00:05.865Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a five-minute window for Solana, titled "Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET." It resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink time-weighted average price (TWAP) for that window is at or above the price at the start of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source names the SOL/USD TWAP data stream and states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Contracts that use other sources, other windows, or a simple closing price would not measure the same thing.
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T18:50:00.000Z [1]. That is the close of the window named in the title, so the close time and the window agree.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-11-02T03:00:05.865Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-02T05:06:35.932Z [1]. These are different times. The prices describe the market at the observation time, not at retrieval, and neither is the contract's close or its resolution.
At observation, the saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample contains one market from one provider event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The record does not report volume or trader counts, so this snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each side.
Because the sample has one market, there is no other outcome to compare against and no ranking to interpret. Nothing in the evidence explains why the prices sit where they do.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show current prices. The status is recorded as active at the time of the provider record [1], but the market may have moved since. The actual resolution is not in the evidence, and the outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP comparison described above.
The record also does not state the SOL price at the start of the window or the TWAP value during it. Without those figures, the snapshot cannot be linked to any particular outcome. A reader who wants current information should consult the provider record again at a later retrieval time.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T03:00:05.865Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Solana will move up or down over a five-minute window. The contract is categorized as crypto [1]. The provider record lists its end time as 2026-11-02T18:50:00.000Z and describes its status as active [1]. The contract rules are specific. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name Chainlink as the resolution source, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The contract is therefore about the price shown in that Chainlink stream, not about any other data feed or spot market [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than a single price at the end, a move late in the window may not change the result in the same way a point-in-time comparison would. The rules compare the averaged price against the starting price, so the outcome is determined by that comparison alone [1]. The market record reflects a provider snapshot taken earlier on the same day as the retrieval, and it does not show the outcome of the window.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP over the stated five-minute window ends at or above its opening level [1]. Its wording makes the data stream, not a general market quote, the basis for resolution [1]. Readers comparing this contract with other Solana markets should check each market's resolution source, since the rules here exclude other sources and spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-02 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this contract resolve Up?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does this contract show whether Solana rose or fell in that window?
No. The record is a provider snapshot taken before the listed end time, and its prices describe market positioning at that moment rather than a result [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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