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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout
Vol

PM $12.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 1.1M-1.2M at 38%.

Polymarket

  1. 1.1M-1.2M38%
  2. 1.2M+30.5%
  3. 900K-1M12.5%
  4. 1M-1.1M12%
  5. <800K6.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $12.2K

Reported volume ยท provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Kansas, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

Kansas Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 2.5K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas Senate General Election be above 850000?Yes 95%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas Senate General Election be above 900000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kansas Senate General Election be above 950000?Yes 85%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory

K 73.9K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 55.5%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 42%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 25.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent

Kansas Senate election: Roger Marshall vote percent

K 924.88 contracts
Will Roger Marshall receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 94%
Will Roger Marshall receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 80.5%
Will Roger Marshall receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 57%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

PM $19.3K
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 37.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes 36.5%
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?Yes 18%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent

Kansas Senate election: Adam Hamilton vote percent

K 1.7K contracts
Will Adam Hamilton receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 98%
Will Adam Hamilton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 97%
Will Adam Hamilton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Kansas Senate election?Yes 96%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kansas Senate margin of victory

Kansas Senate margin of victory

K 5.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 1 percentage point?Yes 37.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 23.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Kansas be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 13.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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