Market snapshot: Oct 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner

Name: Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner
End: 2027-03-14T23:59:00.000Z

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Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner

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Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	36%
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	36%
Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	36%
Will Michael win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	36%
Will The Black Ball win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	25%
Will Digger win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	25%
Will Werwulf win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	10%
Will Wuthering Heights win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%
Will I Love Boosters win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

36%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Desi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, October 14, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 14, 2027 (152 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Costume Design.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Desi

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will The Black Ball win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Werwulf win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wuthering Heights win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Digger win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Dune: Part Three win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sense and Sensibility win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Michael win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will I Love Boosters win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 14, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture