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Events
GroupKALSHI

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November

Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index in November
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

10

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above -0.62 at 50%.

Kalshi

  1. Above -0.6250%
  2. Above -0.6050%
  3. Above -0.5850%
  4. Above -0.5650%
  5. Above -0.5450%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

10

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

the week ending November 20, 2026 If the Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index for the week ending November 20, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Chicago Fed National Financial Conditions Index, “NFCI”, refers to the headline NFCI published by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. It does not refer to the Adjusted National Financial Conditions Index, “ANFCI”, or any individual component or contribution to the NFCI. This market will resolve using the NFCI value for the week ending November 20, 2026 published in the first Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago update that reports that week. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiEconomics
Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October

Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October

K 1.5K contracts
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.30?Yes 90.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.20?Yes 79.5%
Will Chicago Fed National Activity Index for October 2026 be above -0.10?Yes 62.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Diesel price on Election Day

Diesel price on Election Day

K 263.2K contracts
Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.60?Yes 99.5%
Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.40?Yes 99.5%
Will the AAA national average price for diesel on November 3, 2026 be above $5.20?Yes 99.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 10, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
Paper price index in November 2026

Paper price index in November 2026

K 113.4K contracts
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 275?Yes 91.5%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 280?Yes 82.5%
Will the paper price index for November 2026 be above 285?Yes 39.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Mar 15, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Czech National Bank rate decision in November

Czech National Bank rate decision in November

K 168.2K contracts
Will the Czech National Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 99.5%
Will the Czech National Bank maintain the current rate at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 1.5%
Will the Czech National Bank cut more than 25bps at the November Bank Board monetary policy meeting?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiSports
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting?

PM $1.94M · K 532.3K contracts

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.75%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.6%Rules differK Yes 92%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤2.5% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 2.50%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 0.6%Rules differK Yes 90.5%

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?

Kalshi: Will the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate in effect at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2027 be above 3.00%?

Related contracts

PM Yes 3.4%Rules differK Yes 89.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

26 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiSports
CPI-U index in October

CPI-U index in October

K 28.0K contracts
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.300?Yes 97%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.500?Yes 96.5%
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.400?Yes 96.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 17, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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