Mukono Super Smash T20: Naggalama vs Mpata - Team Top Batter
PM $0
1
3
Mukono Super Smash T20: Naggalama vs Mpata - Team Top Batter
PM $0
1
3
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is NAG at 50%.
Polymarket
- NAG50%
- Draw50%
- MPA50%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Naggalama and Mpata scheduled for 2026-07-29 in Mukono Super Smash T20. The outcome corresponding to Naggalama will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Naggalama. The outcome corresponding to Mpata will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Mpata. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market will resolve to Draw. The market will resolve according to which team's player records the highest individual run total regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions). DLS/DRS adjustments and any other on-field rulings affecting batting statistics are treated as ordinary data. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded, the market will resolve Draw. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks which team's player records the highest individual run total in the Naggalama versus Mpata cricket match in the Mukono Super Smash T20 competition [1]. Three contracts come from this one event: a Naggalama Winner contract, a Mpata Winner contract, and a Draw contract [1]. The source states that the Naggalama outcome is correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a Naggalama player, the Mpata outcome is correct under the mirror condition, and the Draw outcome applies if at least one player from each team shares the highest score [1].
The wording differs in several ways that matter for comparison. The source says the market resolves by the highest individual score "regardless of if the match is not competed (e.g. Due to weather conditions)," and it treats DLS/DRS adjustments as ordinary data [1]. It also resolves to Draw if the match is "permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without official batting statistics being recorded," but if the match is postponed, "the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available" [1]. The listed match date is 2026-07-29, and the listed end time is 2026-08-05T07:00:00.000Z [1]. A listed end time is a contract rule, not an announced event date.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:12:18.948Z [1]. This is a record of that observation, not a live quote. Each of the three contracts shows a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample is complete for this saved provider event: all three of its markets are included and the sample is not marked partial [1]. The source also notes that this does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1]. Because the three contracts resolve to different outcomes, their prices should not be averaged or combined into a single figure. Equal prices across the contracts do not indicate that they are interchangeable, and the snapshot does not show any arbitrage opportunity. The source does not include volume, trader counts, or liquidity measures, so none can be inferred.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot reports the listed end time as before the observation time, yet the provider status is "active" [1]. The evidence does not explain this, and it does not confirm whether the match has been played, postponed, or abandoned. The excerpt also does not report the match result or official batting statistics. The reasons for the 0.5 prices are not in the evidence, and no explanation should be assumed.
References
- Polymarket: Mukono Super Smash T20: Naggalama vs Mpata - Team Top Batter. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract is a Polymarket event about the top batter in a Mukono Super Smash T20 cricket match between Naggalama and Mpata, scheduled for 29 July 2026 [1]. The question is which team's player records the highest individual run total in that match. The event has three markets: one for a Naggalama win, one for a Draw, and one for a Mpata win, each with Yes and No outcomes [1]. The contract's listed end time is 5 August 2026 [1]. The provider reported the event as active at the observation time, which was after both the scheduled match date and the listed end time. The supplied material does not show whether the match was completed or what its official batting statistics were, so this article describes the contract terms rather than any result. The Naggalama outcome is meant to be correct only if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Naggalama. The Mpata outcome works the same way for Mpata [1]. If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market resolves to Draw [1]. The rules state that the market resolves on which team's player records the highest individual run total even if the match is not competed, for example because of weather [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single batting statistic: the highest individual run total in one match. It does not ask who wins the match. The rules specify that the outcome depends on the team of the player with the top individual score, and that a tie involving players from both teams resolves to Draw [1]. Anyone reading the prices should keep in mind that a price reflects trading activity on that contract, not a verified probability that a team's batter will top the scoring [1]. The rules also address unusual situations. DLS and DRS adjustments, and other on-field rulings that affect batting statistics, are treated as ordinary data [1]. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without official batting statistics, the market resolves to Draw [1]. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market stays open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available [1]. These rules mean that the contract's resolution depends on official statistics rather than on the match result alone.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Naggalama outcome require?
The Naggalama outcome is correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Naggalama [1].
How does a tie for the top score resolve?
If the highest individual score is shared by at least one player from each team, the market resolves to Draw [1].
What happens if the match is rained off or not played?
The rules say the market resolves according to which team's player records the highest individual run total, regardless of whether the match is not competed, such as because of weather [1]. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or completed without official batting statistics, the market resolves to Draw [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and official statistics are available [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Nigeria vs Gambia - Team Top Batter
PM $14.38ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Lesotho vs Mozambique - Team Top Batter
PM $0ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Zambia vs Nigeria - Team Top Batter
PM $0ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Mozambique vs Gambia - Team Top Batter
PM $0ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Lesotho vs Uganda - Team Top Batter
PM $0ICC Men's T20 World Cup Africa Sub Regional Qualifier C: Gambia vs Uganda - Team Top Batter
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.