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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs

Name: Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs
End: 2026-04-28T19:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$274.97

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs

Vol

$274.97

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $274.97

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $274.97

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet - Map 2 Winner

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet - Map 2 Winner	Poly	50%
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs	Poly	50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet - Map 1 Winner	Poly	46%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$274.97

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between Alter Ego and Last Bullet in the ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against Last Bullet. This market will resolve to "Last Bullet" if Last Bullet win the match against Alter Ego. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 28, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between Alter Ego and Last Bullet in the ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against Last Bullet.

This market will resolve to "Last Bullet" if Last Bullet win the match against Alter Ego.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between Alter Ego and Last Bullet in the ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 9:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against Last Bullet.

T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $275
* **Total Liquidity:** $25
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 11.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Alter Ego: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Last Bullet: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet - Map 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Alter Ego: 45.6% (0.0%)] | [Last Bullet: 54.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs Last Bullet - Map 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Alter Ego: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Last Bullet: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Over: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 28, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports