Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. This snapshot is older than six hours. Check the provider for current prices and availability.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIElections

North Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

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North Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028)

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Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Ted Budd at 86.5%.

Kalshi

Ted Budd86.5%
Richard Hudson3.3%
Mark Walker3.3%
Michael Whatley2.8%
Dan Bishop2.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

7 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Ted Budd be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ted Budd be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	86.5%
Will Richard Hudson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	3.3%
Will Mark Walker be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	3.3%
Will Michael Whatley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	2.8%
Will Dan Bishop be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will Tim Moore be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	2.4%
Will Lara Trump be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?	Kalshi	2.3%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

North Carolina (R) If X wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: North Carolina Republican Senate nominee? (2028)
Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 7 of 7 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Lara Trump be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-LTRU; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.7%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Lara Trump wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Lara Trump wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Tim Moore be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-TMOO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.4%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.6%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Tim Moore wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Tim Moore wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Dan Bishop be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-DBIS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Dan Bishop wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Dan Bishop wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Richard Hudson be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-RHUD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Richard Hudson wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Richard Hudson wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Michael Whatley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-MWHA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Michael Whatley wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Michael Whatley wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Ted Budd be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-TBUD; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 86.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 13.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ted Budd wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Ted Budd wins the party's nomination.

Contract: Will Mark Walker be the Republican nominee for the Senate in North Carolina?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSENATENOM-NCR-28-MWAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxsenatenom-ncr-28
Observed: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 7, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Mark Walker wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2028 Class III North Carolina Senate seat, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. Early close condition: This market will close after Mark Walker wins the party's nomination.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections