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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This Polymarket contract covers ZCash over the window listed in its title, October 19, 9:45PM to 9:50PM ET [1]. The resolution rule says the market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].

The excerpt names the resolution source as the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink and states that the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:50:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to 9:50 PM ET on October 19, matching the title's window. This is a listed close time, not evidence that the market has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:20:00.134Z [1]. These times are about 80 minutes apart. The prices below describe the earlier observation and do not show current conditions when you read this. The status at observation was active [1].

The saved sample contains one Polymarket market with two outcomes: Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Equal prices at one observation do not indicate which direction is more likely, and the evidence contains no explanation for them. Volume is not included in the supplied evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The sample is complete for this provider event, with one of one market included and no partial sample flag [1]. The provider also notes that including all saved markets does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. No other platform's contract appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Contracts on different windows or with different resolution sources should be read on their own rules. The evidence does not show the starting price for this window, the final TWAP value, or how the market resolved.

References

  1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Overview

This is a short-duration crypto contract on Polymarket asking whether the price of ZCash (ZEC) will move up or down over a specific five-minute window. The title names the window as October 19, 9:45PM to 9:50PM ET. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract has two outcomes, Up and Down. The resolution rules tie the outcome to one specific data feed. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. A reader therefore cannot judge the outcome from exchange prices alone, since a different feed could show a different reading. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:50:00.000Z [1]. This is the time recorded in the contract data for when the market closes, and it corresponds to the end of the window named in the title. It is a rule-based timestamp, not a separate announcement that anything will happen at that time. The source recorded the provider status as active when it was retrieved [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over a five-minute window finishes at or above its starting level [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result reflects the average behavior of the feed across the window compared with the price at the start [1]. The rules also specify that the market is about the Chainlink data stream and not about any other price source, which makes the choice of feed central to how the contract resolves [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What price determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?

The contract compares the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window named in the title with the price at the beginning of that window. It resolves Up if the average is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down otherwise [1].

Which data source is used to settle the market?

The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second TWAP [1]. The rules state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].

When does the market end?

The listed end time is 2026-10-20T01:50:00.000Z [1]. This is the close time recorded in the contract data, and it matches the end of the five-minute window in the title.

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Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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