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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

NJ-04 House Election Winner

NJ-04 House Election Winner
Vol

PM $19.6K

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Events

1

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Markets

2

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Chris Smith (R) at 98%.

Polymarket

  1. Chris Smith (R)98%
  2. Rachel Peace (D)1.9%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $19.6K

Reported volume · provider units

2

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

California 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 3.1K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 160000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 170000?Yes 96.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in California 04 House General Election be above 180000?Yes 96.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Kentucky 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Kentucky 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 200 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 04 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 04 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 85%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Kentucky 04 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 77%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Louisiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Louisiana 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 0 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 04 House General Election be above 185000?Yes 97%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 04 House General Election be above 195000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Louisiana 04 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 95.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Wisconsin 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Wisconsin 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 0 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 04 House General Election be above 200000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 04 House General Election be above 210000?Yes 91%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Wisconsin 04 House General Election be above 220000?Yes 85%
+11 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Illinois 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Illinois 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 600 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 04 House General Election be above 94000?Yes 96%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 04 House General Election be above 103000?Yes 94.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Illinois 04 House General Election be above 112000?Yes 87%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout

Iowa 04 House General Election: voter turnout

K 219.4 contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 250000?Yes 93.5%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 260000?Yes 90%
Will the total vote count for all participants in Iowa 04 House General Election be above 270000?Yes 84%
+10 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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