ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - Exact Score
PM $21.2K
1
37
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - Exact Score
PM $21.2K
1
37
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $21.2K
Reported volume · provider units
37
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming Serie A game between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC match originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
This saved analysis is awaiting a background update. Its prices and claims may be outdated; compare them with the dated market data above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event "ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - Exact Score" groups contracts on the final score of a Serie A match. The rules say the market resolves on the result "at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded" [1]. Any score not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score" [1].
The rules also cover unusual outcomes. If the match is postponed, "the market will remain open until it is completed," and if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market "resolves to '0-0'" [1]. The primary source is official event statistics, with Flashscore, Sofascore, and then consensus reporting as fallbacks, and the rules state that the market resolves 50-50 or "Draw" where applicable if no acceptable data is available within 24 hours [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-29T19:45:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing timestamp. It is not the outcome of the match, and the rules describe the match as "scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 03:39 UTC that day [1]. These prices describe that moment only and may not reflect current prices.
The saved data holds 37 markets for this event, but only 12 are included [1]. The sample is partial. Included markets were ranked by Yes price, so the omitted 25 markets should not be read as lower-priced outcomes. Those markets were not shown in this snapshot, and no ranking is implied for them.
Within the 12 included contracts, 11 show a Yes price of 0.375 and No of 0.625. The "ACF Fiorentina 0 - 1 Atalanta BC" contract shows Yes at 0.37 and No at 0.63 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Volume is not included in this excerpt, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity.
Different score contracts have different payoffs, so their prices should not be compared as if they were interchangeable. Differences in price between contracts are not an arbitrage signal by themselves, and no cross-platform comparison is supported by this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, how many traders hold positions, or whether the match will be played as scheduled. It also does not show final statistics, because the match result is not in the supplied evidence. The omitted 25 contracts are unknown in this snapshot. Anyone using these prices should check the live event page and the contract rules for the current status and any changes after the observation time.
References
- Polymarket: ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC - Exact Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers an exact score contract on Polymarket for the Serie A match between ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, which the provider source describes as scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET [1]. The event is listed in the Sports category and has an active provider status [1]. Each market asks whether the final score will match one specific scoreline, such as Fiorentina 1 - 0 Atalanta, or whether it will fall under "Any Other Score" [1]. The settlement rules are central to reading these contracts. The market resolves on the score at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, so extra time and penalty shoot-outs do not count [1]. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1]. If the match is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 0-0 [1]. The provider names the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers as the primary resolution source [1]. If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, data from Flashscore may be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data may be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1]. Revisions to a final score made after the market has resolved are not counted [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where that outcome applies [1]. The market listing ends at 2026-10-29T19:45:00.000Z, which the provider lists as the end time [1]. That timestamp is the scheduled closing point in the contract data, and the actual resolution depends on the rules above rather than on the listed time alone [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the exact final score of one match under the stated rules, not the general result or the team that wins. Because the outcomes are individual scorelines plus a catch-all "Any Other Score" outcome, a single match produces many separate contracts [1]. The sample shows 13 scoreline-based markets in the event and a separate "Any Other Score" market, which means the contracts for one match share the same settlement source and end time but resolve independently [1]. The price fields show the Yes and No values for each contract at the time of the snapshot. In the sample, most contracts show a Yes price of 0.375 and a No price of 0.625, and the Fiorentina 0 - 1 Atalanta contract shows 0.37 and 0.63 [1]. These are snapshot values from the data provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A difference between two contracts' prices does not on its own indicate an arbitrage opportunity, because the contracts have different outcome conditions and the snapshot does not show trading depth or fees.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does extra time or a penalty shoot-out affect how an exact score market resolves?
No. The market resolves on the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if the score is not one of the listed scorelines?
The market resolves to "Any Other Score" [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the match is postponed, the market remains open until the match is completed. If it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to 0-0 [1].
Which data sources are used to settle the market?
The primary source is the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
What if no acceptable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.