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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?
Vol

PM $12.5K

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Events

1

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Markets

12

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is DeepSeek at 97.8%.

Polymarket

  1. DeepSeek97.8%
  2. MiniMax1.9%
  3. Qwen0.8%
  4. OpenAI0.1%
  5. Z.ai0.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $12.5K

Reported volume · provider units

12

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 once the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of November 2, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on November 6, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 26 to November 1, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 1st after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketTech
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

PM $14.4K
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 73%
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 22%
Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 26?

PM $10.6K
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 81%
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 20%
Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?Yes 0.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2026 UTC
PolymarketTech
OpenRouter token usage week of October 26?

OpenRouter token usage week of October 26?

PM $6.9K
Will OpenRouter process between 185T and 195T tokens the week of October 26?Yes 44.5%
Will OpenRouter process between 175T and 185T tokens the week of October 26?Yes 29%
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?Yes 18%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiTech
Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

PM $7.40M · K 17.09M contracts

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best LLM at the end of the decade? (Google)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 21%

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Best AI on Dec 31, 2026? (Gemini)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.9%Rules differK Yes 46.3%

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of October 2026?

Kalshi: Which AI company will have the best coding model on Dec 31, 2026? (Anthropic)

Related contracts

PM Yes 96.6%Rules differK Yes 79%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

82 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 215.4K contracts
Will Tate McRae have above 4.6M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 3.6M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 35.5K contracts
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.2M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.1M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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