Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Grand Prix of Australia Winner

Reported volume

K 417.02 contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Grand Prix of Australia Winner

Vol

K 417.02 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

417.02 contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Marc Marquez wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Marc Marquez wins	Kalshi	34.0%
Jorge Martin wins	Kalshi	19.0%
Marco Bezzecchi wins	Kalshi	16.5%
Ai Ogura wins	Kalshi	12.5%
Raul Fernandez wins	Kalshi	6.5%
Toprak Razgatlioglu wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Pedro Acosta wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Maverick Vinales wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Luca Marini wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Johann Zarco wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Jack Miller wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Franco Morbidelli wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Francesco Bagnaia wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Fermin Aldeguer wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Fabio Quartararo wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Fabio Di Giannantonio wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Enea Bastianini wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Diogo Moreira wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Brad Binder wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Alex Rins wins	Kalshi	2.5%
Alex Marquez wins	Kalshi	2.5%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 417.02 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Grand Prix of Australia ('26) If X finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. If X retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Grand Prix of Australia Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 417.02 contracts
Coverage: 21 of 21 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Toprak Razgatlioglu wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-TORA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Toprak Razgatlioglu finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Toprak Razgatlioglu retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Raul Fernandez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-RAFE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 187.4 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Raul Fernandez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Raul Fernandez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Pedro Acosta wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-PEAC; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Pedro Acosta finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Pedro Acosta retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Maverick Vinales wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-MAVI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Maverick Vinales finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Maverick Vinales retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Marc Marquez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-MAMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 185.23 contracts
Outcome Yes: 34.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marc Marquez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marc Marquez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Marco Bezzecchi wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-MABE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 83.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Marco Bezzecchi finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Marco Bezzecchi retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Luca Marini wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-LUMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Luca Marini finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Luca Marini retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Johann Zarco wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-JOZA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Johann Zarco finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Johann Zarco retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Jorge Martin wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-JOMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 44.39 contracts
Outcome Yes: 19.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 81.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jorge Martin finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Jorge Martin retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Jack Miller wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-JAMI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jack Miller finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Jack Miller retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Franco Morbidelli wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-FRMO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Franco Morbidelli finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Franco Morbidelli retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Francesco Bagnaia wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-FRBA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Francesco Bagnaia finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Francesco Bagnaia retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Fermin Aldeguer wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-FEAL; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Fermin Aldeguer finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Fermin Aldeguer retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Fabio Quartararo wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-FAQU; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Fabio Quartararo finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Fabio Quartararo retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Fabio Di Giannantonio wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-FADI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Fabio Di Giannantonio finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Fabio Di Giannantonio retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Enea Bastianini wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-ENBA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Enea Bastianini finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Enea Bastianini retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Diogo Moreira wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-DIMO; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Diogo Moreira finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Diogo Moreira retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Brad Binder wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-BRBI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Brad Binder finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Brad Binder retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Alex Rins wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-ALRI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Alex Rins finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Alex Rins retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Alex Marquez wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-ALMA; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Alex Marquez finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Alex Marquez retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Ai Ogura wins
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXMOTOGPRACE-AUST641127226-AIOG; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmotogprace-aust641127226
Observed: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 87.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ai Ogura finishes first in the main race originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at the 2026 Grand Prix of Australia, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If Ai Ogura retires, is disqualified, or otherwise is not classified as a finisher in the race, the market for that competitor resolves to No. If the race is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the race is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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