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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MSI 2026 Winning Region

Name: MSI 2026 Winning Region
End: 2026-07-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$213.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MSI 2026 Winning Region

Vol

$213.54K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $213.54K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $213.54K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?	Poly	60%
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?	Poly	31%
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?	Poly	3%
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?	Poly	1%
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?	Poly	0%
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

60%

Top Probability

$213.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026. If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MSI 2026 Winning Region
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jul 12, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026.

If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the Mid-Season Invitational 2026 (MSI 2026), currently scheduled for June 26 - July 12, 2026.

If the winner of MSI 2026 is not determined by July 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

T"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $213.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.2K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 20.90)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $28.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $17.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $136.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win MSI 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $8.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports