BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the BNB price over a five-minute window, not a single moment. The title lists the window as "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET" [1]. Per the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price chart or another exchange's BNB quote should expect different inputs.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:50:00.000Z [1]. That is the close time shown by the provider, which is the end of the window in ET terms. It is not a record of when the market resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T03:00:06Z, and our system retrieved the record at 2026-10-19T03:19:57Z [1]. At observation, the status was "active" and the quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values, not current quotes, executable prices, or verified probabilities. They may have changed since retrieval, and the sample does not show whether they will change before the window opens.
The sample contains one Polymarket market from one event, with no partial sampling [1]. Because there is only one binary contract, no cross-platform comparison or ranking is possible. The Up and Down prices are the only quoted outcomes in this record, so they should not be averaged with prices from other events or platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were 0.505 and 0.495 at observation, and this note does not infer any cause. It also does not include volume, order book depth, or the number of participants, so the snapshot cannot indicate liquidity or market consensus.
The evidence also does not show the BNB price at the start of the window or any TWAP value during it, so the outcome cannot be determined from this record. Readers should check the Chainlink data stream named in the rules and the provider's final settlement status for the resolved result.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price question about BNB, the asset labeled BNB/USD in the provider's rules. The market is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET" and sits in the crypto category [1]. The rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is an average over the window, not the price at the close. The comparison is between that average and the starting price, so a price that rises and falls during the five minutes can still resolve either way depending on the TWAP result [1]. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:50:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the stated 10:45 PM to 10:50 PM ET window [1]. The rules name a specific resolution source: Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the BNB/USD pair and not any other data source or spot market [1]. Traders reading prices elsewhere should therefore keep in mind that a different venue or feed is not the basis for settlement.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's time-weighted average price over a five-minute window, as reported in one named Chainlink data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on a single stream and an average, the contract is narrower than a general question about BNB's market price. The rules make clear that other sources and spot markets do not determine the result [1]. Readers should treat the listed prices as market snapshots rather than guaranteed or executable values, and the trading volume shown elsewhere does not indicate how many participants are active.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Do prices on other exchanges or spot markets affect the outcome?
The rules state that the market is about the price in the Chainlink TWAP data stream for BNB/USD and not about any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T02:50:00Z, which matches the 10:50 PM ET close in the market title [1]. This is the listed end time in the contract data and does not confirm when resolution occurs.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.