Bucknell vs. William & Mary
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Bucknell vs. William & Mary
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
20
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming college football game between Bucknell and William & Mary, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Bucknell" if Bucknell win the game. This market will resolve to "William & Mary" if William & Mary win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-10T12:00:06.000Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The snapshot covers the Polymarket event "Bucknell vs. William & Mary." Its base rule is that the market resolves to "Bucknell" if Bucknell wins the game and to "William & Mary" if William & Mary wins. Overtime is included if played, and a tie resolves 50-50 [1]. The source also says the game was "originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET," and that a game canceled or not started "by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET" resolves 50-50 [1].
The spread and over/under contracts use different rules. Each spread contract is tied to a named team and a point line, such as "Spread: Bucknell (-14.5)" or "Spread: William & Mary (-14.5)." These are separate contracts and should not be compared as one line. Each over/under contract is tied to a total score line, from 49.5 to 57.5 [1]. The listed end time for all included markets is 2026-11-14T18:00:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-10T12:00:06.000Z, and our retrieval time is 2026-11-10T14:37:44.516Z [1]. Those are the times of this record, not the current state of the market. Prices may have changed since observation.
Every included outcome in this sample is priced at 0.5 [1]. Read literally, each snapshot price is a quoted value at observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability. Equal prices across the spread and total lines mean only that the saved snapshot shows equal prices. They do not show that the sides are equally likely to win the game.
What remains uncertain
This is a partial sample. The provider event has 20 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included set is selected by highest valid Yes price, then volume, so the omitted eight are not known from this record. Do not treat the 12 as the full set of available lines, and do not infer that any omitted line is priced lower.
The evidence does not explain any price movement, does not state trader counts, and does not include news about the teams or game. Volume shown in the provider data is not a measure of liquidity or participation.
References
- Polymarket: Bucknell vs. William & Mary. Provider data observed 2026-11-10T12:00:06.000Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 10, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a sports prediction contract on a college football game between Bucknell and William & Mary. The contract's rules say the market will resolve to "Bucknell" if Bucknell wins the game and to "William & Mary" if William & Mary wins. Overtime is included if it is played [1]. The rules also set a tie outcome: if the game ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules describe the game as "originally scheduled" for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, and note that this was the scheduled time as of creation of the first market related to the event [1]. That wording describes the contract's own rule text. It does not confirm that the game was played on that date or at that time. The contract includes cancellation terms. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The rules also say that if the outcome was already definitively determined under the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome stands [1]. The saved provider event lists an end time of 2026-11-14T18:00:00Z and a status of active [1]. The provider observation time for this snapshot was 2026-11-10T12:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-10T14:37:44Z. The listed end time is the contract's closing time in the saved record. Actual resolution depends on the game result and the contract rules, and the saved snapshot does not show a resolution. The same event includes related markets. In the saved sample, these are point spread markets for Bucknell and William & Mary at several lines, and over/under markets at several totals. The sample includes 12 of 20 markets for this provider event, so it is a partial sample [1]. Each market in the sample shows each listed outcome at a price of 0.5 in this snapshot. A snapshot price is not an executable quote or a verified probability, and the equal prices here should not be read as a forecast that the teams are evenly matched.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single result: which team wins the scheduled game, with overtime counted if it is played [1]. Because the rules define a tie as a 50-50 resolution and a canceled or unstarted game by Monday, November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET as a 50-50 resolution, the contract turns a game outcome into a fixed settlement rule that the rule text defines [1]. Readers should use the rule text, not the snapshot prices, to understand how the contract would settle.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-10 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the game ends in a tie?
The contract rules state that a tied game resolves the market 50-50 [1].
Is overtime included in the result?
Yes. The rules state that overtime is included if it is played [1].
What happens if the game is canceled or does not start in time?
The market resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time [1]. If the outcome was already definitively determined under the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome stands [1].
Do the prices in this snapshot show the likelihood of each team winning?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from a specific observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this snapshot, each listed outcome in the included markets is priced at 0.5 [1].
Does this sample show every market for the game?
No. The saved provider event has 20 markets, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The sample should not be treated as the complete set of markets for the event.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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