Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
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6
Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
1
6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
TRA vs HOM (Oct 22) If over X goals are scored in the Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event covers the Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian match in the Conference League, which the rules describe as "originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026" [1]. Each threshold contract resolves to Yes if the stated number of goals is exceeded "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time," and the rules state that extra time and penalties are not included [1]. The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The saved market data lists an end date of 2026-10-24T16:45:00.000Z for each contract [1]. The source excerpt, however, says "Listed end time: not supplied," so this date should be read as a stored provider field, not a confirmed close or settlement time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-17T01:35:18.394Z [1]. These are past snapshot values, not current quotes. The saved Yes prices are 0.525 for over 2.5 goals, 0.51 for over 0.5 goals, 0.505 for over 1.5 goals, and 0.50 for over 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals [1]. Each line is a separate question, so the set should be read as six distinct contracts rather than one probability distribution. Prices are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The supplied data does not include volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it cannot show how deep these markets are or how many participants hold each view.
What remains uncertain
All six markets from this single Kalshi event are included, and the sample is marked as not partial [1]. The sample warning adds that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. No other platform appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible, and differences between contracts do not by themselves indicate an opportunity. The evidence does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it does not report match status, team news, or whether the market has resolved. Check the live provider page before relying on any figure.
References
- Kalshi: Trabzonspor vs Heart of Midlothian: Total Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract tied to the total number of goals in a Conference League match between Trabzonspor and Heart of Midlothian, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. The event page groups several yes or no contracts, each asking whether the match will produce more than a stated number of goals. The thresholds in the saved data are 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals [1]. The resolution rule is the central feature. According to the provider, a market resolves to Yes if the number of goals exceeds the threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not counted [1]. Because the contracts are tied to regulation time, a match that goes to extra time would not add goals from that period to the total. The provider also states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved snapshot shows the following Yes and No prices for each threshold. Over 0.5 goals was 0.51 Yes and 0.49 No. Over 1.5 goals was 0.505 Yes and 0.495 No. Over 2.5 goals was 0.525 Yes and 0.475 No. Over 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals were each 0.50 Yes and 0.50 No [1]. These are readings from a single observation, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved market end date for each contract is October 24, 2026 at 16:45 UTC, although the provider's excerpt states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with the governing league [1].
Historical Context
Heart of Midlothian, usually called Hearts, is the club in this match. A Wikipedia article on its 2026 to 2027 season describes the coming season as the 146th season of competitive football by the club. It says Hearts are competing in the Scottish Premiership for the sixth consecutive season, having been promoted from the Scottish Championship at the end of the 2020 to 2021 season [3]. That article describes the club's domestic standing and does not address this Conference League fixture or the goal totals in it.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific number of goals is scored in one match under a defined rule. Because each threshold is a separate yes or no contract, the same match can produce a range of different outcomes across the listed lines [1]. Traders and readers can compare how the snapshot prices differ across the thresholds, but a difference in price between two contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity, since the contracts have different thresholds and the prices come from one observation [1]. The rule excluding extra time and penalties means that the result depends on the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, which is the period the contract text names [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts toward the total in this contract?
The contract counts goals scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded [1].
What is the scheduled date of the match?
The provider lists the match as originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1].
What happens if the event occurs before the listed end date?
The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Does a price of 0.525 mean a 52.5 percent chance of over 2.5 goals?
No. The prices are snapshots from one observation in the saved data, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The over 2.5 goals Yes contract showed 0.525 in that snapshot [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
