Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks whether the Hyperliquid price will rise over a short window. The title lists the window as "October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET" [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price, another exchange, or a differently worded Hyperliquid market should expect different measurement rules.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation is timestamped 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T09:53:18.694Z [1]. These are the times to use when describing the prices. They are not a live feed.
In that snapshot, the "Up" outcome was priced at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 [1]. Those figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and the two outcomes sum to 1.000. The evidence does not explain why the prices sit where they do, and it contains no information about the number of participants or trading activity.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T06:10:00.000Z, and the provider status is "active" [1]. The provider lists the end time in UTC, while the title uses ET. A reader should confirm the conversion before comparing the window with other contracts. The evidence does not show a resolution outcome.
The coverage record includes one market from one event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Because only this event is in the sample, no comparison with other Hyperliquid contracts or other platforms is possible from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence is a single snapshot from 2026-10-27 and does not show current prices. It does not establish the actual result, since the contract window has not closed in the supplied evidence. It also does not show whether other outcomes or other providers' contracts exist for the same asset. The sample warning notes that the listing does not establish that providers list every possible real-world outcome [1].
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the HYPE/USD price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, identified in the rules as a 60-second stream [1]. The rules say the contract concerns that specific Chainlink data stream and not other price sources or spot markets [1]. A price move on a particular exchange therefore does not decide the contract by itself. Only the named Chainlink stream does. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T06:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the window named in the title [1]. That date appears in the contract rules as the scheduled end of the market. It is not a separate announcement or news event. As of the retrieval time, the window had not yet occurred, so no outcome can be described from the available evidence. The saved sample includes one market with two outcomes, Up and Down [1]. The observed prices in that sample were 0.505 for Up and 0.495 for Down [1]. These are snapshot prices from a point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome. The sample also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of the HYPE/USD price over a single five-minute window, as defined by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because it uses an average over the window and compares it with the starting price, a contract can resolve Up even if the price ends the window lower than it started, and the reverse is also possible. The rule is tied to the specified data stream, so readers should check that stream rather than general price charts when interpreting the result [1]. The contract is useful for understanding how a short-window directional market is defined, including its start point, averaging method, and named data source.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this market resolve to Up?
The market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid, as generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price data decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with 60-second intervals. The rules state that other sources and spot markets do not determine the result [1].
When does this market end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T06:10:00.000Z [1]. This is the scheduled close in the contract data, and the saved evidence does not show how or when the market was resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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