M15 Fergana: Abdurakhmon Karimov vs Dmitry Bessonov
PM $90.15
1
3
M15 Fergana: Abdurakhmon Karimov vs Dmitry Bessonov
PM $90.15
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $90.15
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Abdurakhmon Karimov and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Abdurakhmon Karimov' if Abdurakhmon Karimov advances against Dmitry Bessonov. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Bessonov' if Dmitry Bessonov advances against Abdurakhmon Karimov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved event covers a tennis match between Abdurakhmon Karimov and Dmitry Bessonov in the M15 Fergana Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET [1]. The winner contract resolves to the player who advances. It resolves 50-50 if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, has no determined winner by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or ends in a walkover [1]. The ITF is named as the primary resolution source, and a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The November 10 date is a fallback deadline in the rules, not an announced event date.
The event lists three contracts with different wording. Two are set handicap markets: one pays on Karimov at -1.5 against Bessonov at +1.5, and the other is the mirror version [1]. The third is a straight winner market [1]. The excerpt does not separately explain handicap settlement, so the full contract rules should be checked before comparing the handicap and winner contracts.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T23:21:48.017Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. All three contracts list an end time of 2026-11-03T08:00:00.000Z [1].
In the winner market, Karimov is priced at 0.455 and Bessonov at 0.545 [1]. In the first handicap market, Karimov at -1.5 is priced at 0.495 and Bessonov at +1.5 at 0.505. The mirror market prices Bessonov at -1.5 at 0.495 and Karimov at +1.5 at 0.505 [1]. These contracts have different payoffs, so their prices should not be averaged or read as one combined estimate. Price differences between contracts do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The evidence includes no volume figures, so it cannot show liquidity or trader counts.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all three saved markets for this single provider event, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. No cross-platform comparison is available from this evidence.
The evidence does not report the match status, any result, or the reasons for the observed prices. The snapshot reflects October 26, 2026 observations. Later prices and the contract status should be checked directly before drawing conclusions.
References
- Polymarket: M15 Fergana: Abdurakhmon Karimov vs Dmitry Bessonov. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract tied to a tennis match in the M15 Fergana Main Draw between Abdurakhmon Karimov and Dmitry Bessonov [1]. The provider states that the match was originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET [1]. That is the schedule written in the market description, not confirmation that the match has taken place or been rescheduled. The main contract resolves to whichever player advances against the other [1]. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the provider says the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The same 50-50 outcome applies to a walkover, where one player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically [1]. A different rule applies when a match begins but is not finished. If one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The contract lists the International Tennis Federation as the primary resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting as a possible secondary basis [1]. The listed end time for the market is November 3, 2026 at 08:00 UTC [1]. The event also includes two set handicap contracts, each framed around a 1.5 set spread for one player against the other, alongside the main winner market. These are separate contracts with their own outcome rules, so they should be read individually rather than as one combined forecast.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players is expected to advance from this match, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Because the rules specify how retirements, defaults, walkovers, cancellations, and undetermined outcomes are handled, the final payout depends on how the match concludes as much as on who wins the contest on court [1]. Readers should check those rules closely, since a match that does not finish normally can resolve differently from a straightforward win.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Which outcome does the main contract resolve to?
It resolves to Abdurakhmon Karimov if he advances against Dmitry Bessonov, and to Dmitry Bessonov if he advances against Abdurakhmon Karimov [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or never played?
The provider states that a match not played at all, a tie, or an undetermined winner by November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET resolves 50-50 [1].
What happens if a player retires or is disqualified?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What is the primary resolution source?
The provider names official information from the International Tennis Federation as the primary source, and says a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Karimov vs Bessonov
K 0.01 contracts
Bullet Brawl Top 5 Finishers: Oct 31
K 1.6K contractsBullet Brawl Top 3 Finishers: Oct 31
K 610 contracts
Bullet Brawl Winner: Oct 31
K 288.33 contracts
M15 Fergana: Danila Kvasov vs Shokrukh Toshpulatov
PM $104.92M15 Fergana: Dmitrii Burtsev vs Ahmad Nael Qureshi
PM $104.31Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.