Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this with a spot price chart or another platform's Solana contract should check that the reference source and window match, since the rules tie resolution to this specific data stream.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T07:40:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not a resolution result. The evidence does not show how the contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-19T09:22:20.028Z [1]. These are the only timing points in the evidence, so the prices describe that observation window and should not be read as live quotes.
The snapshot lists "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are observed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and this single snapshot does not show whether that balance held before or after the observation time. The evidence also does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid the market is or how many participants are behind these prices.
The sample covers one market from one event. Coverage shows one market in total, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because only this contract is supplied, there is no comparison with other Solana windows or other platforms in this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices sit where they do. It also does not establish the Solana price at the start of the range, the TWAP during the window, or the final outcome. Readers should not treat the 0.505 and 0.495 figures as a forecast of the result or as a tradable price at any later time.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Solana price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET" [1]. The contract belongs to the crypto category and asks whether the price of Solana will be higher or lower over a five-minute window. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T07:40:00.000Z [1]. The rule is based on a time-weighted average price rather than a single trade. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window, the outcome depends on how the price moved across the whole period rather than on the price at its final moment. The contract names a specific reference. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically its SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider also states that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the Chainlink stream named in the rules, not a general price website, to understand how the outcome is determined. At the time of the provider observation, the event status was recorded as active [1]. The contract is a two-outcome market with "Up" and "Down" options [1]. The entry does not establish when the outcome will be known beyond the listed end time, so readers should treat that time as the provider's stated closing time rather than a confirmed resolution time.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over a short, fixed window. Because it uses a time-weighted average and compares that average with the price at the start of the window, it reflects the overall movement of the period rather than a single trade [1]. The contract is tied to one data source, the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP stream, so the reference price is defined precisely by the rules [1]. Readers who want to understand the contract should focus on these settlement details, since the market is explicitly not about other exchanges or spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract ask?
It asks whether the time-weighted average price of Solana over the 3:35 to 3:40 AM ET window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. If it is, the market resolves to "Up"; otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price data determines the outcome?
The outcome is based on information from Chainlink, specifically its SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The provider states that other sources or spot markets are not the reference [1].
What does the listed end time mean?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-20T07:40:00.000Z [1]. This is the time shown in the contract's listing and does not, by itself, establish when the outcome is confirmed.
Is this a single trade price?
No. The rules refer to a time-weighted average price over the stated range, compared with the price at the beginning of that range [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.