Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The archived record covers one Polymarket event, "Hajek Miroslav vs. Svitac Matej," a table tennis match in the Setka Cup Czechia Men tournament [1]. The contract resolves to "Hajek Miroslav" if that player wins, and to "Svitac Matej" if that player wins [1]. The rules also set out several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A walkover also resolves 50-50, while a player who advances after the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification is the winner [1].

For resolution, the primary source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T10:00:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed result time.

Reading the snapshot

The saved prices were observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC, and the record was retrieved on 2026-10-27 [1]. The snapshot shows Hajek Miroslav at 0.91 and Svitac Matej at 0.09 [1]. These figures describe that saved observation only. They are not current prices, executable quotes, or verified probabilities.

The sample covers one market from one provider event, and it is not partial: the record reports 1 total market and 1 included market [1]. The provider also notes that the sample does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Because only two outcomes appear here, the two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, but that alone does not show how the market would trade at any other time.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the match was played, when it finished, what the official statistics reported, or how the market settled. It also does not show prices after the observation time. The record gives no explanation for why prices stood where they did, and it provides no information about trading activity, liquidity, or how many participants held either view. Volume is not part of the supplied sample, so it cannot be used here.

Readers comparing this contract with others should check wording, close times, and special-case rules before treating prices as comparable. A different contract with a different close or different resolution terms is not an arbitrage opportunity merely because its price differs.

References

1. Polymarket: Hajek Miroslav vs. Svitac Matej. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.