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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Name: LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
End: 2026-05-01T22:30:00.000Z

Total Volume

$34.48K

Events

Markets

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LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Vol

$34.48K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $34.48K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $34.48K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season	Poly	100%
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team - Game 1 Winner	Poly	100%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	100%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	91%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	90%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	90%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	90%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	10%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	10%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	10%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	10%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	10%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	10%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	10%
LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winner	Poly	0%
Game Handicap: OT (-1.5) vs EXILE esports (+1.5)	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$34.48K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between EXILE esports and Onion Team in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "EXILE esports" if EXILE esports win the match against Onion Team. This market will resolve to "Onion Team" if Onion Team win the match against EXILE esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 1, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between EXILE esports and Onion Team in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 1 at 12:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to "EXILE esports" if EXILE esports win the match against Onion Team.

This market will resolve to "Onion Team" if Onion Team win the match against EXILE esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $33.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $151.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $41
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 90.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $22.7K
  DATA: [EXILE esports: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Onion Team: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 14. LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [EXILE esports: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Onion Team: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 15. LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $2.2K
  DATA: [EXILE esports: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [Onion Team: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $65
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game Handicap: OT (-1.5) vs EXILE esports (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Onion Team: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [EXILE esports: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 1, 2026): Vol $100
  DATA: [Odd: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 9.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Volume$34.48K

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 90.0¢No 10.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 10.0¢No 90.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 2. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

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35¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/t2wAxJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season"></iframe>

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LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

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LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

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Events (1)

LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Markets (23)

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

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LoL: EXILE esports vs Onion Team (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

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