BNB Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "BNB Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET" and sits in the Crypto category [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the title's time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T13:10:00.000Z [1]. Readers comparing this with other BNB markets should check each contract's wording, because a market referring to a spot exchange price, a different time window, or a different comparison rule would measure something else even if the title looks similar.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation is dated 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-15T17:57:15.957Z [1]. Those are different times, and the prices below belong to the observation time, not the retrieval time.
At the observation time, the saved prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, but a live order book could show different bids, asks, and fill conditions.
The saved event contains one market, and the coverage record marks it as complete with no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no omitted outcome to compare against. The listed volume is not provided in this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of traders.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show any price movement after the observation time, so it cannot say what the prices are now. It also does not explain why the prices stand where they do. The evidence does not establish how the contract will resolve, since the outcome depends on the Chainlink TWAP data for the stated window. It is not appropriate to compare this contract with a BNB contract on another platform as though the two were interchangeable, since their rules, windows, and sources may differ.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCAI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
