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What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Name: What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
End: 2026-05-06T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$1.01K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Vol

$1.01K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $1.01K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.01K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

29 markets tracked

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(29)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	96%
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	83%
Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	76%
Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	70%
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	69%
Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	66%
Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	64%
Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	60%
Will Starmer say "Lizz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	60%
Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	59%
Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	56%
Will Starmer say "Labor" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	55%
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	54%
Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	53%
Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	51%
Will Starmer say "Olly" or "Robinson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	50%
Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	49%
Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	46%
Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	42%
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	42%
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	39%
Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	37%
Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	36%
Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	35%
Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	27%
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	20%
Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	14%
Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	11%
Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Poly	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

96%

Top Probability

$1.01K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
**Category:** Mentions | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 6, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Keir Starmer says the listed term during the next Prime Minister's Question Time event he participates in. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Keir Starmer is scheduled to participate in the Prime Minister's Questions (PMQs) in the Commons Chamber in the Palace of Westminster on every Wednesday. (https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).

This market will resolve to "Yes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.16)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Starmer say "Poverty" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Starmer say "Shadow Secretary" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 8.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 59.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $6
  DATA: [Yes: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Starmer say "Russia" or "Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $90
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Starmer say "Honorable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $691
  DATA: [Yes: 95.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.2% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Starmer say "Chancellor" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Starmer say "U-turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Starmer say "Labor" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 55.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $7
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Starmer say "Investment" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Starmer say "Olly" or "Robinson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Starmer say "Lizz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 6, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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