Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event "New England vs Miami: Touchdowns" lists eight contracts, each asking whether a named player or defense will score at least one touchdown. The rules say that if a named player "scores at least 1+ touchdowns in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Touchdowns on fake punts or field goals by the offensive team do not count as special teams touchdowns [1]. The rules also address players who are active but never take a snap, which settle to the fair market price before game start, and players who take at least one snap, which settle based on touchdowns scored [1]. The excerpt states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].

Reading the snapshot

The saved data was observed at 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T02:41:36.164Z [1]. These are times for this snapshot, not current prices. Each market record lists an end date of 2026-11-03T21:25:00.000Z [1]. However, the source excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied," so this end date is not confirmed by the excerpt. A listed close time is also not a resolution, and the evidence contains no resolution outcome.

The Yes prices in the snapshot, from highest to lowest, are: Rhamondre Stevenson 0.46, Ollie Gordon II 0.355, A.J. Brown 0.32, Hunter Henry 0.275, Malik Willis 0.20, Drake Maye 0.185, NE Patriots D/ST 0.095, and MIA Dolphins D/ST 0.085 [1]. These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each contract asks a separate question about a different player or defense, so the prices should be read individually rather than as a single ranking of outcomes. Coverage shows 8 of 8 markets included with no partial sample [1]. The sample warning adds that this does not establish that every real-world outcome is listed [1].

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so it cannot show how deep these quotes are. It also does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no game status, injury information, or news. No comparable contracts from other platforms are supplied, so differences in wording or close times cannot be assessed beyond this Kalshi record. Any price difference between two contracts should not be treated as an opportunity without checking their exact rules, close times, and resolution terms.

References

1. Kalshi: New England vs Miami: Touchdowns. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z.