Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET" [1]. The rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T03:20:00.000Z [1]. A reader comparing this with another contract should check its own wording and listed close time, since a different reference source, averaging method, or window would make the outcomes non-comparable.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider record, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They are close to each other, but this single snapshot does not explain why, and it does not show how much depth or trading activity sits behind them.
The provider observation time is 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T20:53:06.681Z [1]. These are different moments. The prices describe the market at the observation time, not necessarily at the retrieval time or at any later point. The record also lists the market status as active, but that is the status recorded in the saved source, not a confirmed current state.
Coverage is limited. The sample includes one market from one provider event, and the record marks it as complete for that event, with no partial sample [1]. This establishes only what the saved event contains. It does not show whether the provider lists every possible outcome for this question, and no other platform's contract is included for comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the resolution result, the TWAP values for the window, or the beginning-of-range price. It also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants. Because only one contract appears here, the snapshot cannot support a cross-platform comparison or an arbitrage conclusion.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T18:00:06.173Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-interval price contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET," listed on Polymarket in the crypto category [1]. The contract asks whether a price measure over a five-minute window will end at or above where it started. Under the rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the HYPE/USD asset pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader should therefore not assume that a price quoted on an exchange or aggregator is the figure that decides this contract. The rules name a single feed, and that feed is the one that counts. The listed end time in the rules is 2026-10-27T03:20:00Z [1]. The contract title expresses the window in Eastern Time, so the two references describe the same closing moment. The end time is a closing time under the contract rules, not an announced event date. The provider record in the evidence shows the event as active at the time it was saved [1]. Any later status or price should be taken from the dated snapshot that the application provides, not from this background text.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of the HYPE/USD pair, as published in one Chainlink TWAP data stream, is at or above the price at the start of a five-minute window [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window and a comparison with the opening level, it does not simply ask where the price ends. The rules also limit the outcome to that one data stream, so the contract's result is defined by that feed rather than by the wider market [1]. This makes the rules themselves the main thing to read before interpreting any price shown for the contract.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How does this contract decide between Up and Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is not based on any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract's window close?
The listed end time in the rules is 2026-10-27T03:20:00Z, which corresponds to 11:20PM ET on October 26 as shown in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.