BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
PM $0
1
1
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the provider states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T09:00:00.000Z [1]. That matches the 5:00 AM ET close in the title, so the listed close is the end of the stated window. A listed close time is not the same as a confirmed resolution, and the evidence does not show how or when this contract resolved.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T10:59:49.070Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation, not the market at the time you are reading this.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495 [1]
These are snapshot prices for two outcomes of one binary contract. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, but the evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record shows one saved market, all included, with no partial sample [1]. The source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome, but for a binary contract the two outcomes shown are the complete set of resolution options. No comparison with other platforms is possible from this evidence, and the prices should not be compared with contracts that use different wording or close times.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so none of those can be inferred from the prices. It does not state the BNB price at the start of the window, the TWAP value over the window, or the final result. It also contains no information about recent news or factors affecting BNB. A reader who wants to know the current price or status should check the provider directly, since this snapshot was taken at a fixed earlier time.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T09:00:05.939Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price market for BNB, a cryptocurrency, listed on Polymarket under the title "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB over a fifteen-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T09:00:00Z, which matches the 5:00 AM ET close in the title [1]. The rules tie the outcome to a specific data feed rather than to general market prices. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink [1]. Because the rules name a single feed, the contract is not settled by the price on an exchange or by any other source. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink TWAP data stream for the BNB/USD pair, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this market with a price chart from another venue should expect that the two may not match, since the contract follows only the named feed. The status recorded in the source is active, with the provider listing the end time noted above [1]. Whether the contract has closed or resolved after the retrieval time is not established by the supplied record.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's price over one short window, from 4:45 AM to 5:00 AM ET on October 28. The outcome depends on whether the TWAP for that window is at or above the price at the window's start [1]. Using a time-weighted average rather than a single price at the close means the result reflects the average level across the window, as recorded by the named Chainlink stream [1]. For someone reading the market, the key details are the exact window, the Chainlink feed, and the fact that the rules exclude other sources and spot markets [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" outcome require?
The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules [1]. The rules say the market does not follow other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T09:00:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 5:00 AM ET close shown in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 28, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
PM $0BNB Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.