Snapshot observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The source text is a Kalshi event for a first-half team total in a New York G versus Philadelphia game. It states that if Philadelphia scores over X points in the first half, the market resolves to Yes, and it notes that the game was originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026 [1]. Each listed contract applies a different point threshold, so the titles differ even though they share one event. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The source does not supply a listed end time for the event itself, so the close timing shown in the market records should be read as a record field rather than a confirmed settlement date.

Market titles follow the pattern "New York G over X 1H points scored" or "Philadelphia over X 1H points scored." Contracts for the same team at different thresholds are separate questions, so they should not be compared as if they were one outcome.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 12:00 UTC on 2 November 2026, and the record was retrieved at 12:18 UTC the same day [1]. These are snapshot prices from that time, not current quotes, not executable prices, and not verified probabilities.

The sample is partial. The event has 20 markets, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, so the omitted eight are not shown with prices in this record. The sample does not allow any statement about their prices, and it does not describe the full field.

Among the included Kalshi markets, Yes prices range from 0.22 for New York G over 16.5 points to 0.78 for New York G over 2.5 points [1]. Philadelphia over 2.5 points is priced at 0.76 Yes [1]. Because these are all from one provider event, the ordering can be read within that event, but no ranking should be extended to other platforms or events.

What remains uncertain

The record does not explain why prices are where they are. It contains no trader counts, volume figures, liquidity data, or news context, so none of those can be inferred. Price differences between thresholds should not be read as arbitrage opportunities, since the contracts resolve on different conditions.

The listed close time of November 10, 2026 at 18:00 UTC appears in the market records [1], but the event excerpt does not state an end time, and early closure is possible if the event occurs [1]. Resolution will depend on the actual first-half result, which is not in this snapshot.

References

1. Kalshi: New York G vs Philadelphia: 1st Half Team Total. Provider data observed 2026-11-02T12:00:05.871Z.