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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

Name: United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors
End: 2026-05-22T18:45:00.000Z

Total Volume

$121.17

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

Vol

$121.17

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $121.17

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $121.17

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Ulster win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ulster win?	Poly	50%
Will Glasgow Warriors win?	Poly	48%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

50%

Top Probability

$121.17

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Ulster and Glasgow Warriors, scheduled for May 15 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 22, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Ulster and Glasgow Warriors, scheduled for May 15 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 15 2026
If Ulster wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this marke"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $121
* **Total Liquidity:** $143
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.85)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ulster win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 22, 2026): Vol $22
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.4% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 22, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Glasgow Warriors win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 22, 2026): Vol $59
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

This event is for the upcoming United Rugby Championship match between Ulster and Glasgow Warriors, scheduled for May 15 2026.

Volume$121.17

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Ulster win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.5¢No 50.4¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Ulster win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 15 2026 If Ulster wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this marke

POLYMARKET

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 15 2026 If Glasgow Warriors wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,

POLYMARKET

Will the match end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the match end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 15 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/uBkdgm" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors"></iframe>

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United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

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Will Ulster win?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

Markets (3)

Will Ulster win?

Will Ulster win?

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Discussion

Market Insights

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ulster win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

United Rugby Championship: Ulster vs Glasgow Warriors

Will Ulster win?

Will Ulster win?

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

Will Glasgow Warriors win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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