BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This record covers one Polymarket contract on the BNB price over a five-minute window, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET" [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A contract on a different BNB price source, such as an exchange spot price, would not be measuring the same thing, even with a similar title.
The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is "2026-10-28T16:35:00.000Z" [1]. Readers comparing windows should check both time references before matching contracts.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These figures were observed at 2026-10-28T00:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-28T03:00:12Z [1]. The 00:00 observation is about three hours older than the retrieval, so it should not be read as a live price at the time of retrieval.
These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record does not include bid and ask levels, depth, or trade volume, so it does not show how easily a position could be entered or exited. The record also does not say how many traders are behind these prices, and volume should not be read as either liquidity or trader count.
The record includes only one market for this event. The coverage data shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because the sample is complete for this saved event, there are no omitted outcomes to compare against.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the BNB price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final outcome. The record also does not state the actual resolution, so the contract should be treated as unresolved in this snapshot.
The status is recorded as "active" in the saved provider data [1]. This record does not show whether that status is still true now.
Finally, the evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are. Any reason for the 0.505 and 0.495 levels would require information outside this record.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T00:00:06.241Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window crypto price contract titled "BNB Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET." The contract is listed on Polymarket and asks whether the price of BNB, measured over the five-minute window named in the title, ends at or above where it began. The rule states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The measurement is tied to a specific data source. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the contract concerns that stream for the BNB/USD pair, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This means that the outcome depends on the Chainlink series, so a reader comparing this contract with prices on exchanges or other feeds should keep the rule's source in mind. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T16:35:00Z, and the provider status recorded in the source is active [1]. That end time is the contract's closing time under the listing. It is not evidence that the contract has settled, and the saved record does not show a resolved outcome. The saved market data shows two outcomes. The "Up" outcome was recorded at 0.505 and the "Down" outcome at 0.495 in the saved snapshot [1]. These figures reflect the recorded moment shown in the dated snapshot and do not indicate the price at the time of reading.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average BNB/USD price over a defined five-minute window, as reported by Chainlink's TWAP data stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average over the window rather than a single price at the end, the outcome can differ from a simple comparison of start and end prices. Its usefulness as a reference therefore depends on understanding that the resolution rule, not general market commentary, sets the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
Under the rules, "Up" applies if the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What does the "Down" outcome require?
The rules state that the market resolves to "Down" if the condition for "Up" is not met [1].
Which price source determines the result?
The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream. The rules specify that other sources or spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
Does the listed price show the likelihood of an outcome?
The saved record shows the listed prices for each outcome at the time of the snapshot [1]. The source does not establish that these prices are verified probabilities, and they should not be treated as executable quotes.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.