Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Winner
PM $0
1
10
Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Winner
PM $0
1
10
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Alajuelense at 49.5%.
Polymarket
- Alajuelense49.5%
- Herediano49.5%
- Pérez Zeledón49.5%
- San Carlos49.5%
- Sporting49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Liga FPD (Costa Rica) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Liga FPD (Costa Rica) for the 2026 season per the rules of Liga FPD (Costa Rica) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Liga FPD (Costa Rica); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event is listed on Polymarket as "Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Winner" in the Sports category [1]. Each contract is a separate yes or no market about one named club. The Alajuelense contract, for example, resolves to "Yes" if that club is determined as champion of the 2026 season [1].
The rules include several tie-breaking and exit conditions. If multiple teams are declared winners, the market "will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically" [1]. A contract resolves to "No" if a listed participant becomes unable to be named champion under the league's rules. If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion is declared in that timeframe, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The resolution source is "official information from the Liga FPD (Costa Rica)," though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved data was observed at 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-21T15:45:47.394Z [1]. These prices describe that observation window, not a live quote. The ten contracts show Yes prices between 0.475 and 0.495. Five clubs are at 0.495, four are at 0.49, and Cartaginés is at 0.475 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
All ten saved markets are included, and the coverage record reports no partial sample [1]. The source also notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because the prices are for separate yes or no contracts, adding them together is not a meaningful total. Their Yes prices sum to about 4.91, which should not be read as a probability distribution.
The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. The December 31, 2026 date appears in the rules as a postponement cutoff, not as an announced event date.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not say when the season will finish or when a champion will be declared. It also does not explain why the prices sit where they do, how many traders hold positions, or how much liquidity sits behind them. The volume figures are not part of this summary, and volume alone would not indicate liquidity or trader count.
Only one platform appears in this evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. Differences in wording or listed close times would matter in such a comparison, but none is supplied here. The prices may have changed since the observation time.
References
- Polymarket: Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T15:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a Polymarket market tied to the 2026 winner of the Liga FPD, the top professional football division in Costa Rica [2]. The league is administered by the Unión de Clubes de Fútbol de la Primera División (UNAFUT) and consists of 10 teams, with the last-placed team relegated to the Liga de Ascenso [2]. The event page is titled "Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Winner" and lists ten separate Yes or No contracts, one for each club named in the saved event [1]. Each contract asks whether a single listed club will be determined as champion of the Liga FPD for the 2026 season. A Yes outcome means that club wins, and a No outcome means it does not [1]. The saved event includes Alajuelense, Herediano, Pérez Zeledón, San Carlos, Sporting, Escorpiones de Belén, Inter de San Carlos, Puntarenas, Saprissa and Cartaginés as separate markets [1]. The saved sample for this event includes all ten markets in the event, so the list is complete for that provider event. It does not establish that the provider lists every real-world outcome. The contract prices shown in this article are snapshots from a specific provider observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Trading volume is not a measure of liquidity or of how many people traded. A difference in price between two contracts does not by itself show an opportunity, because each contract has its own rules and terms.
Historical Context
The Primera División of Costa Rica, also called Liga de Fútbol de Primera División and Liga Promerica for sponsorship reasons, is described as the top professional association football division in Costa Rica [2]. The 2025–26 Liga FPD was described as the 105th season of the competition, and it began with the Apertura tournament on 27 July 2025 [3]. These sources describe the league's background and the completed 2025–26 season, but they do not describe the 2026 season's progress, standings or outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether one specified club is named champion of the Liga FPD for the 2026 season [1]. Because each club has its own contract, the market gives a separate Yes or No view on each listed team's championship outcome [1]. The contract rules also set out how unusual situations would be handled, which affects how the contract settles. The rules state that a listed club's contract resolves to No if it becomes impossible for that club to be named champion under the league's rules, such as when it is eliminated [1]. If more than one team is declared winner, the contract resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, is postponed beyond the deadline in the rules, or no champion is declared within that timeframe, the contract resolves to Other rather than Yes or No [1]. The rules name official information from the Liga FPD as the resolution source, with a consensus of credible reporting also possibly used [1]. The listed end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z is a contract closing date in the rules. It is not an announced date for the championship to be decided [1]. The saved snapshot was observed at 15:00 UTC on 21 October 2026 and retrieved from the provider shortly after, so it shows prices at that earlier moment rather than the contract's status today [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean in this contract?
A Yes outcome means the listed club is determined as champion of the Liga FPD for the 2026 season [1].
What happens if a listed club is eliminated?
If it becomes impossible for a listed club to be named champion under the league's rules, such as when the club is eliminated, the corresponding contract resolves to No [1].
What happens if more than one team is declared champion?
The contract resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1].
What happens if the event is cancelled or no champion is declared in time?
If the event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no champion has been declared within that timeframe, the contract resolves to Other [1].
What source is used to decide the winner?
The resolution source is official information from the Liga FPD, although a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
Does the contract price show the chance that a club will win?
No. The price is a snapshot from a specific observation time, not an executable quote or a verified probability, and it should not be read as a confirmed chance of winning [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Liga FPD (Costa Rica): Teams relegated (2026-27)
PM $1.5K
Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 2026 Runner-Up
PM $0Liga FPD (Costa Rica): 9th Place (Relegation Survivor) 2026-27
PM $0Liga FPD (Costa Rica): Team with Most Clean Sheets 2026-27
PM $0
CONCACAF Nations League A Champion
PM $9.3K · K 43.5K contractsWill Mexico win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?
Kalshi: Will Mexico win the CONCACAF Nations League A?
Related contracts
Will United States win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?
Kalshi: Will USA win the CONCACAF Nations League A?
Related contracts
Will Canada win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?
Kalshi: Will Canada win the CONCACAF Nations League A?
Related contracts
Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.
Saved prices; check contract rules.
La Liga: Team Points
K 117.05 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.