Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
PM $141.5K
2
17
Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026
PM $141.5K
2
17
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Alexia Putellas at >99.9%.
Polymarket
- Alexia Putellas>99.9%
- Patri Guijarro<0.1%
- Ewa Pajor<0.1%
- Alessia Russo<0.1%
- Caroline Graham Hansen<0.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $141.5K
Reported volume · provider units
17
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
Each market asks whether a listed player finishes in the top 5 of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking, and resolves "Yes" if so and "No" otherwise [1]. The rules state that ties for the top five follow France Football's official top 5 list, and that players tied with no further official distinction are resolved alphabetically by name [1]. The market resolves "No" if the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or if the final five places are not determined within that timeframe [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. The rules say the ceremony "is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026" [1]. This is a date written in the contract text, not confirmation that the event has taken place.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z and retrieved at 2026-10-18T07:47:36.453Z [1]. They describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In the included markets, Yes prices range from 0.0895 for Yui Hasegawa to 0.9895 for Alexia Putellas [1]. Khadija Shaw is at 0.67, Klara Buhl at 0.505, and Cata Coll at 0.495 [1]. Each market is a separate contract about one player. Their prices should not be added or averaged into a single estimate. A difference in prices between contracts is not, by itself, an arbitrage opportunity. The supplied data contains no volume or liquidity figures for these markets, so this snapshot does not show how easily a position could be entered or exited.
What remains uncertain
This sample is partial. It includes 12 of 30 markets for this provider event [1]. The included markets were chosen by highest finite Yes price, then volume, so the 18 omitted markets are not shown and this is not the full field. The sample also contains only Polymarket markets, so it should not be compared with other platforms without checking their wording and close times. The supplied evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it contains no information after the observation time.
References
- Polymarket: Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T06:00:06.106Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
The Women's Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026 is a Polymarket event that asks whether individual players will finish in the top five of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Each player has its own Yes or No contract. A Yes contract resolves to Yes if the named player finishes in the top five, and otherwise resolves to No [1]. The contract rules state that the 2026 ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026 [1]. That date appears in the rules as a scheduled date and does not confirm that the event has occurred or that a ranking has been published. The rules also set several conditions for how the contracts resolve. If more than five players tie for the top five places, resolution follows France Football's official top five list. Players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction are resolved alphabetically by name [1]. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, is canceled, or if the final five places have not been determined within that window, every market in the event resolves to No [1]. The resolution source is official information from France Football and or UEFA, including the official Women's Ballon d'Or announcement. The rules state that a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time for the event is January 1, 2027 at 04:59 UTC [1]. The contracts are priced between 0 and 1. A price is a snapshot of where trading stood at the time it was recorded. It is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability of the outcome. The volume figures attached to these markets describe trading activity, not liquidity or the number of participants. Because each contract covers a different player, a difference in price between two contracts does not by itself indicate an opportunity, since the contracts are separate questions about separate players.
Historical Context
The Ballon d'Or is an annual association football award presented by French magazine France Football since 1956 to honour the player judged to have performed the best over the previous season [2]. The women's ranking referred to in this contract is described in the market rules as the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking, with France Football as the named source for its official top five list [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a named player finishes among the top five places in the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking [1]. Its outcome depends on that official ranking, the tie-break rules, and the postponement and cancellation conditions described above [1]. Because the rules tie resolution to an official ranking from France Football or UEFA, the contract's result is determined by that ranking and not by market prices [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes contract in this event pay out on?
A Yes contract resolves to Yes if the listed player finishes in the top five of the official 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise the corresponding contract resolves to No [1].
What happens if the award is postponed or canceled?
If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or if the final five places have not been determined within that timeframe, the market resolves to No [1].
How are ties handled?
If more than five players tie for the top five, resolution follows France Football's official top five list. Players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction are resolved alphabetically by name [1].
Does a contract price show the chance that a player will finish in the top five?
Prices are snapshots of trading and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The source material does not establish that a price represents the likelihood of an outcome.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
