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Events
GroupKALSHI

2028 Team USA Women's Basketball Roster

2028 Team USA Women's Basketball Roster
Vol

K 0 contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

50

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Veronica Burton at 49.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Veronica Burton49.5%
  2. Sabrina Ionescu49.5%
  3. Sonia Citron49.5%
  4. Sienna Betts49.5%
  5. Shakira Austin49.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

50

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

2028 If X is selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on whether X is selected to the team. If they are selected but do not end up competing in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

Each market in this sample asks whether a named player will be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics. The provider's rules state that "If X is selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes," and that a selected player who does not end up competing "still resolves to Yes" [1]. The wording concerns selection, not participation.

The provider also states that "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The market records list an end date of 2028-07-31T14:00:00.000Z, but the same provider record says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. Because these two statements conflict, readers should treat the listed end date as a platform field to verify on the provider's page, not as a confirmed close or resolution time. Nothing in the evidence establishes when selections will be announced.

Reading the snapshot

The observation time is 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-09T16:05:12.862Z [1]. These are times for this saved record only. The prices below describe that snapshot and may have changed since.

The sample includes 12 markets from one Kalshi event, out of 50 markets in the saved event [1]. Each included market shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

All 12 markets share identical prices, so the snapshot does not separate these players by price. The sample selection ordered markets by Yes price and then by volume, but the evidence does not show volume figures, so the ordering within this tie cannot be interpreted. Volume is also not a measure of liquidity or trader count.

The rules differ by player only in the name in each question. Because the contracts share one event and identical wording, comparing them is straightforward. Their prices should not be combined into an aggregate or compared with prices from other platforms.

What remains uncertain

The 38 omitted markets have no prices in this record, so their prices cannot be inferred. The evidence does not explain the current prices, and nothing here shows why they are where they are. No other platform's prices for these players are included, so no cross-platform comparison is supported.

References

  1. Kalshi: 2028 Team USA Women's Basketball Roster. Provider data observed 2026-11-09T15:00:07.937Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTC

Overview

This contract is a yes-or-no market on whether a specific athlete will be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics. The provider's event is titled "2028 Team USA Women's Basketball Roster" and is listed in the Sports category [1]. Each individual market asks about one named player. The rules state that the market resolves to Yes if the named athlete is selected to the team, and that a selected athlete still counts as Yes if they do not end up competing in the event [1]. The provider's event page states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The team itself is governed by USA Basketball and competes in FIBA Americas [3]. The team has a long record in international women's basketball. A Wikipedia article retrieved for this topic states that it has won 10 of the 12 Olympic tournaments it has entered, 10 of the last 13 World Cups, and 12 titles overall, and that it was ranked first in the FIBA World Rankings at the time of that page's retrieval [3]. That ranking is a historical snapshot from the article, not a current standing. The path to the 2028 Games is still being formed. A Wikipedia article on women's qualification says the qualification process will be held between 2026 and 2028 and that all five FIBA zones are expected to be represented in the Olympic event [2]. The article describes the expected structure, not the outcome of any qualifying stage.

Historical Context

The team is governed by USA Basketball and competes in FIBA Americas. Its record through the retrieved article includes 10 of 12 entered Olympic tournaments won, 10 of the last 13 World Cups won, and 12 titles overall [3]. The retrieved article also reports the team as ranked first in the FIBA World Rankings at that time [3]. Qualification for the 2028 Olympic women's tournament is described as running from 2026 to 2028, with all five FIBA zones expected to have representation [2].

Why It Matters

The contract measures whether a named athlete is selected to the 2028 USA Women's Basketball roster for the Summer Olympics. Selection is the condition for a Yes resolution, and competing at the event is not required [1]. The contract's listed end date is July 31, 2028, but the provider's event entry says the listed end time was not supplied, and that date is a contract rule rather than an announced selection date [1]. The retrieved market data show Yes at 0.495 and No at 0.505 for each of the 12 included markets in the snapshot taken at 2026-11-09T15:00:07Z. These are observed prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the sample covers 12 of the 50 markets in this provider event, so it is not the full field.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-09 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

Does an athlete have to compete at the Olympics for a Yes resolution?

No. The rules state that if the athlete is selected to the team but does not end up competing in the event, the market still resolves to Yes [1].

Is the July 31, 2028 date when selections are announced?

No. The end date appears in the contract data, but the provider's event entry says the listed end time was not supplied [1]. The date is a contract rule and not an announced selection date.

Is this market affiliated with USA Basketball?

The provider states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].

What does a price in this market represent?

The price is a snapshot taken at the observation time and is not an executable quote or a verified probability. In the included sample, Yes and No prices were 0.495 and 0.505 respectively [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Nov 9, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiSports
2028 Team USA Men's Basketball Roster

2028 Team USA Men's Basketball Roster

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Will Anthony Edwards be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?Yes 95.5%
Will Cooper Flagg be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?Yes 95%
Will Cade Cunningham be selected to the USA Men's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics?Yes 92%
+37 moreNext deadline Jul 31, 2028 UTC
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College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Dec 7 AP Poll

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Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 6 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 7, 2026)?Yes 50%
+97 moreNext deadline Dec 21, 2026 UTC
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College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 30 AP Poll

College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 30 AP Poll

K 236.32 contracts
Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 30, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 30, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 5 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 30, 2026)?Yes 50%
+97 moreNext deadline Dec 14, 2026 UTC
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College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Dec 21 AP Poll

College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Dec 21 AP Poll

K 1.02 contracts
Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 21, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 21, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 8 Rankings (expected to be released on Dec 21, 2026)?Yes 50%
+97 moreNext deadline Jan 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 16 AP Poll

College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 16 AP Poll

K 1.02 contracts
Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 3 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 16, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 3 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 16, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 3 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 16, 2026)?Yes 50%
+97 moreNext deadline Nov 30, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 23 AP Poll

College Basketball (W): Top 5 Ranked Teams on Nov 23 AP Poll

K 1.02 contracts
Will West Virginia be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 23, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Wisconsin be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 23, 2026)?Yes 50%
Will Washington be a top 5 ranked team on the Women's College Basketball AP Poll Week 4 Rankings (expected to be released on Nov 23, 2026)?Yes 50%
+97 moreNext deadline Dec 7, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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