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Events
GroupKALSHI

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)
Vol

K 27.6K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

13

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above 14.5M at 99.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Above 14.5M99.5%
  2. Above 14.25M99.5%
  3. Above 14M99.5%
  4. Above 15.5M90%
  5. Above 15.25M90%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 27.6K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

13

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Justin Bieber: October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026 If Justin Bieber has above X Global daily views on YouTube at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. View counts may vary by location. This market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address. Global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting “Global” as the location. This market and these products have not been endorsed by YouTube. Any references to YouTube charts or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between YouTube and Kalshi. This market will expire once the event occurs.

This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract asks whether Justin Bieber will have more than a stated number of global daily views on YouTube at any point between October 26, 2026 and November 1, 2026. The source states that "If Justin Bieber has above X Global daily views on YouTube at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. Views are read from YouTube Charts with "Global" selected, and the source notes that "View counts may vary by location. This market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address" [1].

Each threshold is a separate yes-or-no contract. The thresholds in this sample run from 14M to 16.75M daily views.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-30T12:00:07Z, and the retrieval time was 2026-10-30T13:22:52Z [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.

Among the 12 included thresholds, Yes prices fall as the threshold rises. The 14M, 14.25M, and 14.5M contracts are each priced at 0.995 Yes. The 15M contract is at 0.965, the 15.5M at 0.745, the 15.75M at 0.56, and the 16M at 0.35. The 16.5M contract is at 0.14 Yes, and the 16.75M contract is at 0.185 Yes.

Every price comes from one provider, Kalshi, for one event. The prices are not averaged with other platforms, and they should not be compared with contracts from different events.

Volume is not included in this sample, so these prices cannot be read as liquidity or as a count of traders.

What remains uncertain

The sample is partial. It includes 12 of 13 markets listed for this event [1]. The omitted market's threshold and price are not shown, so no conclusion can be drawn about it.

The listed end time is also unclear. The market records show an end date of 2026-11-08T15:00:00.000Z, but the source excerpt states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. This date is not an announced resolution or event date, and the evidence does not explain how it relates to the October 26 to November 1 measurement window.

The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are. It also does not show whether view counts have changed since the observation time.

References

  1. Kalshi: Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026). Provider data observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event that asks whether Justin Bieber will reach a specified number of global daily views on YouTube at any point between October 26, 2026 and November 1, 2026 [1]. The event is titled "Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)" and is listed in the entertainment category [1]. Each market in the event sets a different view threshold, and the contract resolves to Yes if the artist exceeds that threshold at any point during the window [1]. The rules tie resolution to the values shown on YouTube Charts. Global daily views can be found there by searching for the artist and selecting "Global" as the location [1]. The rules also state that view counts may vary by location and that the market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address [1]. Because the number a viewer sees can depend on location, the choice of location is part of the contract rather than a detail to ignore [1]. The rules further state that the market will expire once the event occurs, and that YouTube has not endorsed the product and that references to YouTube charts are descriptive only [1]. The timing has several parts. The provider's observation of the event was recorded at 12:00 UTC on October 30, 2026, and the source was retrieved at 13:22 UTC the same day [1]. The measurement window itself runs through November 1, 2026 [1]. The market data lists an end date of November 8, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, but the rules describe expiry in terms of the event occurring, and the supplied evidence does not state a listed end time for the event itself [1]. A date in the contract data is therefore not the same as a date on which a result was announced or confirmed. This entry describes the contract as it was when the snapshot was taken and does not report any final outcome. The market sample shown here is partial. The event has 13 markets in the provider's saved data, and 12 are included in this sample [1]. The included markets were selected by ordering the Yes prices from highest to lowest and then by volume, so the sample is not a complete list of every threshold [1]. The included thresholds run from 14 million to 16.5 million daily views in the sample, and their Yes prices in the snapshot fall as the threshold rises [1]. Those prices are snapshots from the provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the price of an omitted threshold cannot be inferred from this partial list.

Historical Context

Wikipedia's discography page describes Bieber as a Canadian singer with eight studio albums and a long chart record, including eight number-one hits on the US Billboard Hot 100 and eight number-one albums on the US Billboard 200, as stated in that page as of its retrieval [2]. The same page states that, as of June 2026, he had sold an estimated 150 million records worldwide [2]. Another Wikipedia page describes Purpose as his fourth studio album, released through Def Jam Recordings and School Boy Records on November 13, 2015 [3]. These sources provide background on the artist's career. They do not show what his view counts were during the October 26 to November 1, 2026 window, and they are not a verification of current events.

Why It Matters

The contract measures a specific and narrow quantity: whether the global daily view count on YouTube, as displayed through YouTube Charts and the New York location named in the rules, exceeds a given threshold at any point during the stated window [1]. Because the rule asks about any point in the window rather than a final day, a single qualifying day would be enough for a Yes outcome under the terms described [1]. The contract is therefore sensitive to the exact definition of the metric, including location and chart source, rather than to general popularity [1]. The chart definition is also why the rules caution that view counts may vary by location [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What does a Yes outcome require in this contract?

According to the rules, the market resolves to Yes if Justin Bieber has above the stated number of global daily views on YouTube at any point between October 26, 2026 and November 1, 2026 [1].

Which data source determines the result?

The rules state that global daily views can be accessed through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting Global as the location [1]. The market will resolve using values displayed from a New York IP address, because view counts may vary by location [1].

Does a price near 1 mean the event is certain?

No. The prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The provider data shows a snapshot taken on October 30, 2026 at 12:00 UTC, before the window has closed [1].

Is this sample the full set of thresholds for the event?

No. The provider's saved event contains 13 markets, and 12 are included in this sample, which was selected by Yes price and then volume [1]. The omitted market should not be assumed to have a lower or higher price than the included ones [1].

Was this helpful?
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiTech
Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 2026)

Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (October 2026)

K 7.4K contracts
Will Justin Bieber have above 15.75M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 90.5%
Will Justin Bieber have above 15.5M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 90%
Will Justin Bieber have above 16M daily views at any point during October 2026?Yes 79.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 11, 2026 UTC
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Tate McRae: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

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Will Tate McRae have above 5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.9M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Tate McRae have above 4.8M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
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Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 86.3K contracts
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.9M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.8M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Taylor Swift have above 13.7M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+28 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
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Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 57.2K contracts
Will Bad Bunny have above 25M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Bad Bunny have above 24.5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Bad Bunny have above 24M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+22 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
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Drake: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Drake: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 25.4K contracts
Will Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will Drake have above 11.5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99%
Will Drake have above 11.25M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 99%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
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Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026)

K 11.3K contracts
Will Morgan Wallen have above 4M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 98.5%
Will Morgan Wallen have above 4.25M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 98%
Will Morgan Wallen have above 4.5M daily views at any point during October 26, 2026 - November 1, 2026?Yes 17%
+14 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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