Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers one fifteen-minute window for ZCash, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET" [1]. The rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].

The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a ZCash price on another exchange or data feed should expect that the wording and data source may differ. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:15:00.000Z [1].

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z and retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:10:08.734Z [1]. Both times are provider and retrieval records, not the present moment. At observation, the provider status was active and the market showed "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1].

These are displayed snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The equal prices show only that the two sides were quoted at the same level at that observation time. The evidence does not explain why they were equal, and it does not include volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.

The sample covers one saved market for this event. Coverage shows one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. Because both binary outcomes are present, no outcome is omitted from this snapshot. The provider's sample note also says that inclusion "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1], which here concerns only the saved binary pair.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show the current price, the price at the start of the window, or the final TWAP. It also does not confirm the final resolution. Any comparison with other ZCash contracts should check whether their rules, windows, data sources, and end times match this one before treating prices as comparable.

References

1. Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.