Atlanta vs New Orleans: Spread
K 2.9K contracts
1
33
Atlanta vs New Orleans: Spread
K 2.9K contracts
1
33
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points at 59%.
Kalshi
- Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points59%
- Atlanta wins by over 2.5 points56%
- Atlanta wins by over 3.5 points53%
- Atlanta wins by over 4.5 points48.5%
- Atlanta wins by over 5.5 points45%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 2.9K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
33
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs NOP (Oct 31) If New Orleans wins by more than X points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied event is a Kalshi spread market for the Atlanta vs New Orleans game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. Each listed contract uses a different margin threshold. Titles such as "Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points" and "New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points" are separate contracts with their own Yes and No prices [1]. The rule excerpt describes the Yes condition as New Orleans winning by more than X points [1], so readers should check each contract's title before comparing prices.
The rules also address postponement and cancellation. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T04:41:53.194Z [1]. They describe that earlier snapshot, not current trading. Among the included rows, the Yes price for "Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points" is 0.60, and the Yes price for "New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points" is 0.29 [1]. These are quoted snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is partial. For this event, 12 of 33 markets are included [1]. The included markets were selected by finite Yes price, highest first, so the 21 omitted markets are not shown and should not be assumed to have lower prices. Each listed market has an end date of 2026-11-02T23:00:00.000Z [1], but the excerpt also says the listed end time is not supplied, so that date should be read as a provider field rather than a confirmed closing time.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, trader counts, or any explanation for how prices changed. It also does not confirm whether the game will be played as scheduled. Because only one provider event is supplied, no comparison with other platforms or events is possible. Different prices across contracts with different thresholds or wording do not, by themselves, indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs New Orleans: Spread. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T03:00:05.892Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a spread contract listed on Kalshi for a professional basketball game between Atlanta and New Orleans, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The event is titled "Atlanta vs New Orleans: Spread" and is listed as active in the saved provider record [1]. A spread contract asks whether one team wins by more than a stated number of points. The rule text for this event says that if New Orleans wins by more than X points in the game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The individual market titles in the saved record instead state thresholds for each side, such as "Atlanta wins by over 1.5 points" and "New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points" [1]. Each market is a separate yes or no question tied to one threshold, so a reader should check the title of the specific market rather than assume one threshold applies to the whole event. The rules also address schedule changes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The rules state that the market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market records show an end date of November 2, 2026 at 23:00 UTC for each listed market [1]. This is a contract field in the saved data. It is not a game time, and it does not mean the game was scheduled for that date. The platform also states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or officially connected with the governing league, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures the margin of victory in one specific game rather than who wins the game outright. Each market pairs a team with a point threshold, so the question is whether the final margin passes that line in the direction named in the title [1]. Because the postponement rule keeps the market open if the game starts within 48 hours, the contract's outcome depends on the official final result in that case, not on the originally scheduled date alone [1]. A fair price resolution applies only if the game is cancelled or does not start within that window [1]. Prices in the saved record are snapshots taken at the observation time and are not executable quotes [1]. They should not be read as verified probabilities of any result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this spread contract ask?
The contract asks whether a team wins by more than a stated number of points in the Atlanta vs New Orleans game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 [1]. The rule text describes a New Orleans win by more than X points resolving to Yes, while the market titles list thresholds for each team [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
When does the market close?
The rules say the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The saved market records list an end date of November 2, 2026 at 23:00 UTC, which is a listed field in the record and not an announced event time [1].
Are the prices in the record the current odds?
No. The saved prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The record covers only part of the event's markets, so the included markets are not the full field [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
