BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
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BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, titled "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET" [1]. The rules say it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-30T01:25:00.000Z [1]. The contract's own rules therefore define the window by its TWAP and the starting price, not by a headline price or another exchange's quote.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-10-29T18:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-30T00:07:26Z [1]. The prices below describe the observation time, not the retrieval time or any later moment.
- Up: 0.505
- Down: 0.495
These are the only two outcomes for this contract in the saved record. The prices sum to 1.000, and the Up price is slightly higher. Read this as a snapshot of quoted prices, not an executable quote or a verified probability. The gap is small, and the record does not explain it.
Because this is a single contract, no comparison across platforms or events is possible in this sample.
What remains uncertain
The record does not show the current status of the contract, its trading volume, or the number of participants. It also does not contain the TWAP or starting price, so the outcome cannot be determined from the evidence. The record does not say whether the contract has resolved.
The saved sample includes all markets for this event, but that does not show that every possible outcome is listed. Here the event has only two outcomes, both included [1].
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T18:00:06.063Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB, measured against U.S. dollars, moves up or down over a five-minute window. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is specific. The contract is about the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, not about prices on other sources or spot markets [1]. Traders therefore need to understand which data feed settles the contract, because a different price feed could show a different result. The rules name the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP stream as the resolution source [1]. The saved record for this event was observed on October 29, 2026 at 18:00 UTC and lists a window ending at 01:25 UTC on October 30, 2026 [1]. At the time of that observation the provider status was active [1]. The page was retrieved later, but the observation is the most recent provider status in this record and should not be read as the market's status today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of BNB's short-term price against U.S. dollars over a defined five-minute window, as recorded by one specific Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on the time-weighted average over the window compared with the starting price, a contract like this reflects movement within the interval rather than a single closing price at one moment [1]. Prices shown for the two outcomes are snapshots from a provider record. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a higher price on one outcome does not establish that it is more likely to occur.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves to Up if the TWAP of BNB over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The contract uses the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink. It states that other sources and spot markets are not used for resolution [1].
When does the listed window end?
The provider record lists an end time of 2026-10-30T01:25:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed end time, not confirmation of how or when it was resolved.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.