Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 74.54 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
40
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for natural gas on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/MMBtu, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 3 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM to 4:59:59 PM and closes at 5:00:00 PM. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartContract price history
40 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.299 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(40)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.299 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.199 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.099 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 1.999 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.799 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.699 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.599 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.499 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.399 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.899 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 2.999 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
95.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.099 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
88.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.199 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
76.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.299 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
59.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.399 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
42.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.499 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
27.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.599 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
16.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.699 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
10.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.799 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
6.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.699 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5.0%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.799 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
4.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.899 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.199 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.099 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 3.999 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.599 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.499 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.399 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.299 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
1.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.899 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.799 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.699 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.599 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.499 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.399 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.299 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.199 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 5.099 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.999 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Will the natural gas close price be above 4.899 USD/MMBtu on October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
0.5%
Rules & Resolution
Saved matching review
Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.
A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.
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