MODUS Super Series: Tommy Lishman vs Jack Aldridge
PM $17.7
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MODUS Super Series: Tommy Lishman vs Jack Aldridge
PM $17.7
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $17.7
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the darts match between Tommy Lishman and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, originally scheduled for October 22 at 7:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Lishman' if Tommy Lishman wins against Jack Aldridge. This market will resolve to 'Jack Aldridge' if Jack Aldridge wins against Tommy Lishman. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. Resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market on the darts match between Tommy Lishman and Jack Aldridge in the MODUS Super Series, listed on Polymarket [1]. The contract resolves to "Tommy Lishman" if Tommy Lishman wins, and to "Jack Aldridge" if Jack Aldridge wins [1].
The rules include several non-standard outcomes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market resolves to 50-50 [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves to 50-50 [1]. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. Resolution is based on official MODUS Super Series results [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-29T23:30:00.000Z [1]. The source describes the match as "originally scheduled for October 22 at 7:30PM ET" [1]. That scheduled date is a description in the contract text, not confirmation of the current match schedule, and the listed end time is not the same as the match time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T03:45:25.274Z [1]. It is a historical record of those times, not a live reading. The provider status was recorded as active [1].
At observation, the saved prices were 0.34 for Tommy Lishman and 0.66 for Jack Aldridge [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They do not show how many traders hold each position, and the saved volume data is not included here as a measure of liquidity.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record lists one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The saved data also states that all saved markets for this event are included, but that does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome in the match. Because only one contract is present, no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices stand where they are, and this analysis does not attribute any movement to news or events. The supplied material contains no information on whether the match will take place as scheduled, whether it has been postponed, or what the current price is. Any later price would require a new snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: MODUS Super Series: Tommy Lishman vs Jack Aldridge. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a single prediction market tied to a darts match in the MODUS Super Series between Tommy Lishman and Jack Aldridge. The market is a two-outcome contract. It resolves to 'Tommy Lishman' if Lishman wins the match and to 'Jack Aldridge' if Aldridge wins [1]. The contract rules describe the match as originally scheduled for October 22 at 7:30PM ET [1]. That wording describes the scheduling in the contract rules and does not confirm that the match was played at that time. The contract also sets out what happens in situations other than a normal win. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. If the match starts but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The contract states that resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results [1]. The listed end time for the market is 2026-10-29T23:30:00.000Z, and the provider lists its status as active [1]. Traders can read the outcome names and the resolution wording together to see which result pays out under each scenario.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named players wins the scheduled darts match. Its value depends on the official result of the match as recorded by the MODUS Super Series [1]. Because the rules define how cancellations, ties, delays, walkovers, and retirements are handled, the contract separates a completed win from outcomes that would return a 50-50 settlement [1]. A price for either outcome reflects the market's trading at the time of the snapshot and is not a verified probability of that player winning [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What outcomes can this market resolve to?
The market has two outcomes, Tommy Lishman and Jack Aldridge. It resolves to Lishman if he wins the match and to Aldridge if he wins [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not played?
If the match is canceled, not played at all, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The same 50-50 result applies if the match is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner being determined [1].
What happens if one player retires or is disqualified?
If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].
What happens if a player withdraws before the match starts?
A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, resolves the market 50-50 [1].
What source determines the resolution?
The contract states that resolution will be based on official MODUS Super Series results [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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