Moshkov Ivan vs Smyshnikov Maksim
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Moshkov Ivan vs Smyshnikov Maksim
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Smyshnikov Maksim at 49.5%.
Kalshi
- Smyshnikov Maksim49.5%
- Moshkov Ivan49.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
MOS vs SMY (Oct 24) If X wins the Moshkov Ivan vs Smyshnikov Maksim men's professional Russia Liga Pro table tennis match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 at 3:15 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the match is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 48 hours from its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to $0.50. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T18:00:06.040Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied source is a Kalshi event for a men's professional Russia Liga Pro table tennis match between Moshkov Ivan and Smyshnikov Maksim, listed as originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT [1]. The rules state that if X wins, the market resolves to Yes [1]. Two separate markets are included: one asks whether Moshkov Ivan wins, and the other asks whether Smyshnikov Maksim wins [1].
The rules also cover disruption. If the match is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If it is cancelled or postponed more than 48 hours, "both markets will resolve to $0.50" [1]. The rules say the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1].
Timing differs across fields. The provider status reads "Listed end time: not supplied" [1], yet the market records show an end date of 2026-10-23T19:15:00.000Z [1]. That date is a listed close field, not a statement that the match occurs then, and the excerpt does not explain how the two entries relate.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-21T18:00:06.040Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T02:36:33.062Z from an archived copy [1]. They describe that observation only, not current conditions.
At observation, Moshkov Ivan wins was priced at 0.495 for Yes and 0.505 for No [1]. Smyshnikov Maksim wins was priced at about 0.485 for Yes and 0.515 for No [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The two Yes prices together sum to about 0.98, which the excerpt does not explain. The gap between them is small, and the source gives no reason for it.
The sample covers both outcomes for this one Kalshi event. The coverage record reports two markets, two included, and partialSample set to false [1]. Because the sample is complete for this event, no outcome is missing from it. The source also notes that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1]. No other provider appears in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not contain the match result, whether the match took place as scheduled, or the final resolution of either market. It also does not show current prices, trading volume, or the number of participants. Volume is not liquidity, and a difference in price between contracts is not an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Kalshi: Moshkov Ivan vs Smyshnikov Maksim. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T18:00:06.040Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event tied to a single men's professional table tennis match in the Russia Liga Pro, between Moshkov Ivan and Smyshnikov Maksim. The provider's listing describes the match as originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:15 PM EDT [1]. The event contains two binary contracts: one on whether Moshkov Ivan wins and one on whether Smyshnikov Maksim wins [1]. The contract wording says the market resolves to Yes if the named player wins the match [1]. The rules also cover disruption. If the match is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result [1]. If the match is cancelled, or is postponed by more than 48 hours from its originally scheduled start, both markets resolve to $0.50 [1]. The provider states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1]. The provider's excerpt also says that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1]. The listing shows the provider status as active and states that the listed end time was not supplied [1]. The saved market records include an end date field, but that field should not be read as the time the match was played or the result was confirmed, because the provider's own listing says no end time was supplied [1].
Why It Matters
The contracts measure one outcome: which named player wins a scheduled Russia Liga Pro table tennis match [1]. Because each player has a separate binary contract, the two markets describe the same match from opposite sides, but the provider's rules define each resolution separately [1]. The 48-hour postponement rule and the $0.50 cancellation rule determine how the contracts settle if the match does not proceed as scheduled [1]. Readers should check these conditions, rather than the headline market name alone, to understand how a given contract would settle.
Snapshot context
The archived provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 18:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Moshkov Ivan wins contract resolve on?
It resolves to Yes if Moshkov Ivan wins the match, based on the provider's contract wording [1]. The provider's listing states that the market will close and expire after a winner is declared [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the match is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves on the official final result [1]. If it is postponed more than 48 hours from its originally scheduled start, both markets resolve to $0.50 [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled?
If the match is cancelled, both markets resolve to $0.50 [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
