Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

30-year mortgage rate this week

Reported volume

K 14.0K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

30-year mortgage rate this week

Vol

K 14.0K contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

14.0K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

19 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.30%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.30%?	Kalshi	68.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.31%?	Kalshi	63.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.32%?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.33%?	Kalshi	39.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.34%?	Kalshi	25.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.35%?	Kalshi	20.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.37%?	Kalshi	11.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.36%?	Kalshi	10.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.38%?	Kalshi	8.0%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.39%?	Kalshi	6.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.43%?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.42%?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.40%?	Kalshi	4.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.41%?	Kalshi	3.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.45%?	Kalshi	2.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.48%?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.47%?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.46%?	Kalshi	1.5%
Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.44%?	Kalshi	1.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 14.0K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC

About This Event

Oct 22, 2026 If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey, PMMS, for Oct 22, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: 30-year mortgage rate this week
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 14.0K contracts
Coverage: 19 of 19 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.48%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.48; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.48%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.47%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.47; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.47%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.46%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.46; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.46%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.45%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.45; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 480 contracts
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.45%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.44%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.44; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 713 contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.44%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.43%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.43; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 787 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.43%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.42%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.42; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 101 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.42%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.41%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.41; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 537 contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.41%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.40%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.40; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 65 contracts
Outcome Yes: 4.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 95.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.40%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.39%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.39; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 738 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.39%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.38%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.38; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 441 contracts
Outcome Yes: 8.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.38%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.37%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.37; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.5K contracts
Outcome Yes: 11.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.37%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.36%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.36; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 200 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 89.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.36%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.35%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.35; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 923 contracts
Outcome Yes: 20.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 80.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.35%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.34%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.34; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 451 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.34%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.33%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.33; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.33%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.32%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.32; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 1.6K contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.32%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.31%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.31; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 241.2 contracts
Outcome Yes: 63.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 37.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.31%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Contract: Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.30%?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.30; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kx30ymortw-26oct22
Observed: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
Listed close: Oct 29, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 3.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 68.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 32.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 

7.30%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics