FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers | PredictPedia

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48 markets tracked

Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

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Single-Platform Markets(48)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	28%
Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	28%
Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	26%
Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	23%
Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	20%
Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	20%
Will Brazil qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	19%
Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	15%
Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	15%
Will Croatia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	13%
Will Senegal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	12%
Will Uruguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	12%
Will Turkiye qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	12%
Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	12%
Will Panama qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	12%
Will Switzerland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	10%
Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	9%
Will Congo DR qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	8%
Will Ivory Coast qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	8%
Will Scotland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	8%
Will Czechia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	8%
Will Uzbekistan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	7%
Will Ghana qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	7%
Will Egypt qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	7%
Will Colombia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Jordan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Iraq qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Algeria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Norway qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	6%
Will Qatar qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will New Zealand qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will Haiti qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will Curacao qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	5%
Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	4%
Will Morocco qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	4%
Will Cape Verde qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	4%
Will USA qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Japan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Korea Republic qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	3%
Will Tunisia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	2%
Will South Africa qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	2%
Will Saudi Arabia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?	Kalshi	2%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, April 17, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Final Qualifiers

If X is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. This market and these products have not been endorsed by FIFA. Any references to "FIFA", the "FIFA World Cup," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Uzbekistan is one of the teams to qualify for the Final in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This will be determined by whether or not they qualify; if they qualify but do not end up competing, the market will still resolve to Yes. This market and these pr"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Uzbekistan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will USA qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Uruguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Turkiye qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Tunisia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Sweden qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Switzerland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Senegal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Scotland qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will South Africa qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Qatar qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Paraguay qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Panama qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will New Zealand qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Norway qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Netherlands qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Morocco qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Saudi Arabia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Korea Republic qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Japan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Jordan qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Iraq qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will IR Iran qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Haiti qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Ghana qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Egypt qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will Algeria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will Czechia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Will Curacao qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 37. Will Croatia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Will Cape Verde qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 39. Will Colombia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 40. Will Congo DR qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 41. Will Ivory Coast qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Will Canada qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 43. Will Brazil qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 44. Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 45. Will Belgium qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Will Austria qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 47. Will Australia qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Will Argentina qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers

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Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

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Events (1)

FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers

Markets (48)

Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

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Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

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FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers

Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Ecuador qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will France qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

Will Germany qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

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