Celta Vigo vs Alaves: Second Half Total
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Celta Vigo vs Alaves: Second Half Total
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
RCC vs ALA (Oct 18) If the total goals scored by Celta Vigo and Alaves is more than X goals in the 2nd Half of the Celta Vigo vs Alaves professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Celta Vigo vs Alaves professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Only goals scored during the 2nd Half count towards this market. This market will close and expire after the half ends.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event asks whether the combined goals scored by Celta Vigo and Alaves in the second half of their La Liga match exceed a threshold [1]. The excerpt says the match was "originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026," and that "Only goals scored during the 2nd Half count towards this market" [1]. Each market in the sample uses a different threshold: over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 second-half goals [1]. Each resolves to Yes if the total exceeds its threshold.
The rules also cover disruption. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away, "the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules" [1]. The excerpt does not define how that fair price is calculated, so readers should check the full rulebook before relying on that outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-17T06:00:06 UTC and retrieved at 06:33:40 UTC [1]. These figures describe that moment only. They are not live quotes, and they do not show whether a trade could be executed at these levels.
The Yes prices were 0.635 for over 0.5 second-half goals, 0.495 for over 1.5, and 0.495 for over 2.5 [1]. The three thresholds are separate contracts with different questions, so comparing them as a single probability distribution would be a misreading. The sample includes all three markets from this one Kalshi event, with no cross-platform data. The saved listing gives an end date of 2026-10-20T14:15:00 UTC for each market [1], but the event rules state that the market closes after the half ends [1]. Those two timing references should not be treated as the same thing.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and this analysis does not attempt to. It also does not show how many participants hold each position or how much liquidity sits behind the quotes. The excerpt lists the provider status as active, but that status describes the time of retrieval, not the present.
The sample warning states that the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only these three thresholds were captured, the snapshot does not show the full set of goal totals a bettor might consider. The listed end time shown in the event excerpt is "not supplied" [1], so the close time should be checked directly on the provider page.
References
- Kalshi: Celta Vigo vs Alaves: Second Half Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi contract on the second-half goal total in the Celta Vigo vs Alaves La Liga match, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 [1]. The contract is a yes-or-no question about how many goals the two teams score in the second half. Under the provider's rules, the market resolves to Yes if the combined total goals scored by Celta Vigo and Alaves in the second half is more than the threshold X named in the specific contract [1]. The provider states that only goals scored during the second half count toward this market, so first-half goals do not affect the result [1]. The market closes and expires after the half ends [1]. The rules also address disruption: if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price under the provider's rules [1]. The rules do not spell out what that fair price is in the supplied material, so readers should check the full provider rules before relying on that outcome. In the saved provider event, three contracts are listed with thresholds of over 0.5, over 1.5, and over 2.5 second-half goals [1]. Each contract is a separate yes-or-no question with its own threshold, so they should be read individually rather than as a single ranked set of outcomes. The provider's listed end time for the event is not supplied in the event text [1], while the saved market records carry a separate end date field of October 20, 2026 at 14:15 UTC. That field is a contract record, not an announced kickoff or match time. Prices in these contracts are snapshots taken at a specific time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. A price shows where the market stood in the saved data, and it does not show how likely any outcome is. Trading volume is also not the same as liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow part of a match: goals scored only in the second half, compared with a threshold. It gives traders a way to express a view on second-half scoring without covering the full-match total, because the first half is excluded [1]. Because the market is tied to a single scheduled match, its outcome depends on whether that match is played as scheduled and on the goals scored in the second half [1]. Readers should keep in mind that the thresholds are separate contracts and that the cancellation rule points to a fair price rather than a simple yes or no [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result require in this contract?
According to the provider, the market resolves to Yes if the total goals scored by Celta Vigo and Alaves in the second half is more than the threshold X named in the contract [1].
Do first-half goals count?
No. The provider states that only goals scored during the second half count toward this market [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled or rescheduled?
If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the provider says the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules [1]. The supplied text does not define that fair price further.
Does the market show a confirmed match result?
No. The provider's event text describes the contract rules and the provider status, and it does not report a match score or result in the supplied material [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
