Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single Polymarket event, "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET" [1]. The rule states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The stated resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-26T19:20:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the measurement window, while the listed end time is the provider's close time. Neither is evidence that the outcome has been determined.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider's observation at 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z, retrieved by PredictPedia at 2026-10-25T22:04:00.647Z [1]. They are not current quotes, and they are not executable prices. The two prices sum to 1.000 in this snapshot, so the reported figures describe the two sides of one binary contract.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market and one included market, with no partial sample [1]. Because only this contract was saved, there is no other outcome in this event to compare against. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1], which means the contract was open for trading at that time, not that it had resolved.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not show whether the price moved before or after the observation, and it does not explain any movement. It also does not show trading volume, liquidity, or how many participants hold each side. The saved record does not include a resolution outcome, so the result of the TWAP comparison is unknown from this evidence. A reader should also avoid comparing this contract with other "Up or Down" markets on other platforms or time windows, since their rules, sources, and close times may differ.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T21:00:06.198Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET" [1]. The contract is about the price of HYPE/USD, the trading pair associated with Hyperliquid, over a five-minute window. It does not ask whether the asset will rise or fall over a longer period. The rules state that the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. In practice, the outcome depends on how the average price across the window compares with the price at the window's start, not on where the price happens to be at the final moment. The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules specify that the market concerns that data stream "and not any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader checking prices on another exchange would therefore be looking at a different reference than the one used for settlement. The saved record lists the provider status as active and the listed end time as 2026-10-26T19:20:00.000Z [1]. This entry describes the contract as it was recorded in that provider snapshot. The listed end time is a contract rule taken from the provider record, not a separate announcement about when anything will happen.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow question: whether the time-weighted average HYPE/USD price over the stated five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the average is taken over the whole window, a brief spike or dip near the end affects the result differently than it would under a closing-price rule. The contract's design also means that it depends on a single named data stream rather than on a broad market consensus [1]. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes, Up and Down, for this event [1]. Those prices reflect what participants were paying at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up result require?
Under the rules, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP of the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The resolution source is Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a market price show what will happen?
The saved prices are snapshots from a provider record. They are not executable quotes and do not establish how likely either outcome is [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.