Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the Solana price over the window named in its title, "Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET" [1]. Under the provider's rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers should not assume the outcome follows another feed or exchange quote.
Timing also matters. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is 2026-11-01T20:20:00.000Z [1]. These are expressed in different time zones, so confirm the conversion before comparing them. The listed end time is a close time, not a confirmed resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data were observed at 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T00:55:32.169Z [1]. At capture, the market's status was active. The quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this binary market the two prices sum to 1.00, but that reflects only this saved data. The snapshot does not report trade size, order book depth, or the number of participants, so it says nothing about liquidity.
The sample contains one market from one provider event. All saved markets for that event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. This does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome for this window. No other event is included, so no ranking or comparison across events is possible.
What remains uncertain
The prices may have changed after the retrieval time. The saved data do not explain why the prices sit where they do. Whether the TWAP finishes at or above the starting price cannot be determined from this evidence, and no resolution is recorded here. Check the live provider page and the cited Chainlink stream before relying on any figure.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T00:00:05.995Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. Its title, Solana Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET, names a five-minute window on November 1, 2026. The contract asks whether the price of Solana in that window will end up above or below where it started. The contract rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-11-01T20:20:00Z [1]. The measurement is set by a specific data feed rather than by general market prices. The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the contract concerns the price in that stream, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Solana price on a different exchange should therefore expect the two to be measured differently. The contract is a binary market with two outcomes, Up and Down. The provider record lists both outcomes for this single event [1]. Because the window is only five minutes long, the contract is narrow in scope: it does not ask about Solana's price at a particular moment, or over a longer period, only about how the averaged price during the window compares with the starting price.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Solana's price over a fixed five-minute window, as recorded by Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on reading the rules closely. The window is defined by the title, the comparison is between the averaged price and the starting price, and the data source is named in the rules [1]. Anyone using the market price as a signal about where Solana is heading should keep in mind that the contract covers only this window and only this data stream.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
According to the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is Chainlink's SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market concerns the price in that stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
What is the time window covered by the contract?
The title specifies November 1, 3:15 PM to 3:20 PM ET, and the provider record lists an end time of 2026-11-01T20:20:00Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Same-question pairs
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