Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Notre Dame vs Villanova: Spread

Reported volume

K 0 contracts

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Trade on Kalshi

Notre Dame vs Villanova: Spread

Vol

K 0 contracts

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

As of Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Villanova wins by over 1.5 points at 67%.

Kalshi

Villanova wins by over 1.5 points67%
Villanova wins by over 3.5 points60%
Villanova wins by over 5.5 points53%
Villanova wins by over 7.5 points50%
Villanova wins by over 6.5 points50%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

19 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Villanova wins by over 1.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(19)

Market	Platform	Price
Villanova wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	67.0%
Villanova wins by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	60.0%
Villanova wins by over 5.5 points	Kalshi	53.0%
Villanova wins by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	50.0%
Villanova wins by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	50.0%
Villanova wins by over 8.5 points	Kalshi	43.0%
Villanova wins by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	40.0%
Villanova wins by over 11.5 points	Kalshi	34.0%
Villanova wins by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	25.0%
Notre Dame wins by over 1.5 points	Kalshi	23.0%
Villanova wins by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	18.0%
Notre Dame wins by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	16.0%
Villanova wins by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	12.0%
Notre Dame wins by over 8.5 points	Kalshi	10.0%
Villanova wins by over 24.5 points	Kalshi	9.0%
Notre Dame wins by over 12.5 points	Kalshi	7.5%
Villanova wins by over 28.5 points	Kalshi	6.5%
Villanova wins by over 32.5 points	Kalshi	6.0%
Notre Dame wins by over 16.5 points	Kalshi	6.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

ND vs VILL (Nov 1) If Villanova wins by more than X points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Notre Dame vs Villanova: Spread
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 19 of 19 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 8.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 43.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 57.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 8.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 7.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL8; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 7.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 6.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL7; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 6.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 5.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 53.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 47.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 5.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 3.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 3.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 32.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL33; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 32.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 28.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL29; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 28.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 24.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL25; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 9.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 91.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 24.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 20.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL21; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 12.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 88.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 20.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 67.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 33.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 1.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 17.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL18; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 18.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 17.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 14.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 14.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 11.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL12; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 34.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 66.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 11.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Villanova wins by over 9.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-VILL10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 40.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 60.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Villanova wins by more than 9.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Notre Dame wins by over 8.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-ND9; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 10.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 90.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Notre Dame wins by more than 8.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Notre Dame wins by over 4.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-ND5; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 16.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Notre Dame wins by more than 4.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Notre Dame wins by over 1.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-ND2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 23.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 77.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Notre Dame wins by more than 1.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Notre Dame wins by over 16.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-ND17; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 6.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 94.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Notre Dame wins by more than 16.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Contract: Notre Dame wins by over 12.5 points
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV01NDVILL-ND13; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambspread-26nov01ndvill
Observed: Oct 29, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Nov 3, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 7.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 92.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Notre Dame wins by more than 12.5 points in the Notre Dame vs Villanova men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

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