BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
PM $265.71
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BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
PM $265.71
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1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $265.71
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-18T03:00:06.384Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single event, "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET," listed on Polymarket [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to Chainlink data stream BNB/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a similarly titled market on another platform should check whether that market uses the same window, the same price feed, and the same tie rule, since any of these differences would change what the prices describe.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-18T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-18T04:20:11Z [1]. It lists two outcomes: "Up" at 0.9995 and "Down" at 0.0005 [1]. These are prices from one observation, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The listed end time is 2026-08-05T16:00:00Z [1]. That moment falls well before the observation time, so the snapshot shows the contract's pricing at an earlier time, not at the present. The provider status in the saved record reads "active" [1], but the record does not state whether the contract has settled or what outcome, if any, it reached. Nothing in the supplied evidence confirms a resolution, so this analysis does not report one.
The sample includes one market from one event, and the coverage record indicates it is complete for that saved event, with no partial sample [1]. Because the prices shown are the only outcomes in this saved record, no comparison with omitted outcomes is possible. The record also does not include trading volume, so it cannot speak to liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices took their observed values. It also does not show whether a resolution has been recorded, the final BNB price data, or any change in the contract after the saved snapshot. A reader should confirm the current status and settlement outcome directly from the provider and the Chainlink data stream before drawing any conclusion about this contract's result.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-18T03:00:06.384Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 18, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers the contract titled "BNB Up or Down - August 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET," a crypto price-direction contract listed on Polymarket. The contract asks whether the price of BNB will finish the stated window at or above where it started. Under the listed rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. This distinction matters because a BNB price shown on an exchange or aggregator may differ from the Chainlink reading that the contract uses. Readers should check the resolution source rather than assume any published BNB price is the one that settles the contract. The listed end time for the window is 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z [1]. The title describes the window as 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM ET, and the provider's listed end time corresponds to the close of that window. The contract's end time is a rule-defined closing point, not an announcement of any event. The provider's saved record shows the status as active at the time it was observed, but that status reflects the provider snapshot only. It does not establish whether the market has since resolved, and the supplied evidence does not show the final outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, narrow question: whether the Chainlink BNB/USD reading at the end of a defined window is greater than or equal to the reading at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison is between two points in one short window, the contract does not measure BNB's price level, its longer-term trend, or its value against any other asset. The rules also specify that the Chainlink data stream is the reference, which means the contract tracks a particular oracle feed rather than the market as a whole [1]. The prices attached to the outcomes in the saved record are snapshots taken at the provider's observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of the outcome [1]. The saved sample for this event includes one contract, so it does not show any other related market for comparison.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-18 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the BNB Up or Down contract resolve on?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the BNB price at the end of the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price source determines the outcome?
The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD data stream. The rules state the market is about the price according to that data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1].
Does the listed end time mean the outcome has been announced?
No. The listed end time is 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z, which is a rule-defined closing point for the window [1]. The supplied evidence does not show a resolution result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.