Name: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-04-18T17:00:00.000Z

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $79.44K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $79.44K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	81%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	81%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?	Poly	69%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	65%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?	Poly	65%
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Poly	64%
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?	Poly	57%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Poly	55%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?	Poly	52%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	49%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	49%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	49%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Poly	47%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?	Poly	47%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	45%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	45%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	43%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?	Poly	42%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Poly	41%
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	32%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	14%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	14%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	11%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	4%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

81%

Top Probability

$79.44K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the ma"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $80.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $371.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.22)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $42.0K
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 59.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $528
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 44.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 55.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $559
  DATA: [Over: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $35.2K
  DATA: [JD Gaming: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [Weibo Gaming: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $87
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 43.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 57.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Odd: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 47.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $78
  DATA: [Over: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 57.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 43.0% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Over: 69.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 31.0% (0.0%)]

### 35. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Weibo Gaming: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [JD Gaming: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$79.44K

Markets35

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 3. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 28.5¢No 71.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Apr 18, 2026 5:00 PM

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41¢

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (35)

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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