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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Name: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
End: 2026-04-18T18:10:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.55M

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Vol

$3.55M

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.55M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.55M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	65%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	35%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$3.55M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and JD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 18 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Weibo Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $871
* **Total Liquidity:** $18
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 49.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $616
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 35.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $16
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $11
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.4% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Volume$3.55M

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 3. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 1. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 1. This marke

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

47¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/wEoBTu" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend"></iframe>

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LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Markets (8)

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

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